Great Snow 1717

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

This period will define the winter. If this fails to produce bigtime, its going to be another shitty season.

Certainly headed in that direction unless there is a significant pattern change....

15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I feel as good about major snows in the long range as I do about the Sox interest in major FAs....on paper, there is no reason it shouldn't happen, but you get that pit in the middle of your gut that it just won't until it actually takes place. Until John Henry and the atmosphere both commit to large investments once again, we are resigned to broke dick storms and players, as well as 15×20 mile bands of prosperity and trades of top prospects for relative unknowns.

 

100% correct

Just now, WinterWolf said:

It’s a shit argument…kind of like saying the first two days of January might be above normal, so January is above normal.  But knock yourself out.  This isn’t last year. 

..so it's a shit argument to say that an area that currently has had normal snowfall to date is likely going to be below normal snowfall for the season 10 days from now?????.....

44 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Cold yes but most of sne is going to end December below normal for snow with some traditionally snowy places are WAY below normal

100% correct

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Just tell it as I see it. 

Hopefully January works out. Looks good on paper,  but needs to actually perform. 

Some people here would be perfectly fine with you morphing into the equivalent of someone who touts penny stocks as the road to being wealthy..

..the coming meltdowns are going to be epic!

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

So 10 days from now, when it’s January 3rd…and we finished December at normal or AN snow, we should be having a snow event immediately on the first two days of January, or we’re in trouble of falling behind on 1/3?  I mean, that’s about as lame an excuse for saying areas will be BN, because on 1/3/25 there hasn’t been a snow storm yet for January, as one can get.   
 

 

...am I wrong about that?

1 hour ago, DJln491 said:

Close the shades until 2nd week of Jan?

Areas that  currently have normal to AN snowfall for the season are going to be BN once the next 10 day period comes to an end.

40 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

lol i guess all it takes is two crap winters for people to start trashing a respected met. god bless

TWO???????????????

3 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

The trolls and the “TIT’s”(Trolls In Training) are quick to pounce on any sign of failure…grasping at OP runs 10 and 12 days out.  Wretched creatures they are. 

Can't the same be said for those who pounce on any sign of "success"??....as in the"pattern looks great in 10-14 days"

17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

We 7/10 split Xmas in classic Methuen style...too far north, then south.

if Winter was like  golf we'd be doing great because it is going to be another under par month for snowfall...

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Can’t even do clippers right. Next we’ll get a SWFW that’ll blowtorch us 10 minutes after the column moistens enough for precipitation to fall.

..that is what is known in the betting world as an "all in " bet..

1 inch in the Winter Wonderland known as Methuen.....up to 1 1/2 inches on the season!!

16 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

He’s probably away from the river or at a somewhat higher elevation. The difference is between 300 feet and 600 feet and less than a mile or pretty spectacular in the Merrimack Valley.

That was the case in Londonderry and Derry with the storm last March. 

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, hopefully AMC gets cleaned up....convenient spot there.

..also in several schools..

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, a lot of people feel that way. I am in the minority. Understood...you may have done a bit better in Methuen than I did in Wilmington, too.....def. some interior jobs.

...do you mean the new Rodent capital???

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

2013-2014 and 1993-1994 are two of the more overrated winters from my persecptive...espcially the former.

...not from my perspective....I'll take 93-94 24/7/365

2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Haha we’re the same age. 

Maybe I get mowed down by some idiot driver or kicked into a hole by some random ailment at some terribly early age, but I think the investment I make now is worth it. I can do things today that I couldn’t do at 25. As for exercise—I think the best way is to start slow and build consistency. You just want improvement. One step at a time can take you a long way eventually. 

Sorry to hear that, but you’re still here as @Prismshine Productions said. Let’s get an 1899 cold blast to bring some flakes to your backyard!

..and that doesn't require going to a gym. All it takes takes it are  weights/exercise bands and an exercise bike at home. Walking and running outside are free. And a fitness monitor such as a Fitbit is a must. 

9 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

I have 2. I take over a dozen scripts. Once you start taking them, you're hooked. Took Eliquis for a year and the clots came back. Now on Xerolta, thankfully I have a good healthcare plan. Changes your perspective and attitude of life.  

If you are ever in Boston or need to consult with another vascular surgeon, this is the guy!

https://doctor.webmd.com/doctor/david-campbell-11418e76-aa96-4b12-81ec-c69f26bfa5c2-overview

Extremely skilled. People travel from all over the world to see him. He does offer telehealth appointments.

21 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

My highest weight was 260lbs. age-56.
Forced to retire, neurological issues from a slipped disc, lowest point in my life. I had to retire because of inability to walk or commute to work. My parents passed, bookended Mom in Dec and Dad in January. So, I moved to FL to start over. 
One day I had a podiatrist tell me I had circulation issues. A sore, an ulcer on my big toe. Long story short version- triple by-pass, a dozen stints, developed neuropathy in both legs, clots everywhere. I lost 140lbs.
I was skin and bones coming in at 120lbs. My last visit to the hospital was due to DVT. Talk about painful OMG. Doctors stated I was terminal and that I ran out of procedures, no more surgeries and that the clots are going to kill me. Here one minute gone the next.

TMI

I REALLY WANT TO SEE YOU GUYS GET BURIED. 
I'll bet buried the other way... LOL   
 

Have you been seen by a vascular surgeon?

43 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

you didn't ask for this op ed but ... i began to opine, about 15 years ago, that we seemed to be losing ability to sustain marginal cold (relative to climatology). 

the evidences of this were nuanced in the early years - probably less detected or noticeable by those with heads buried in the proverbial winter sand. but mixy events began to 'flop' over to wet more than they used to, for example.  or, like today ... when extinguishing a cold supply we burst high.   we were becoming increasingly more reliant on 'direct feed,' otherwise, the base-line is above average;  just a matter of how much or how little in this latter aspect, which is wholly guided by the pattern foot at the times ...   

this last week is an innocuous sort of example of this.  we had an upstream in time and space, -epo cold load.  said load effectively 'drained' from the mid latitude continent (used up for lack of better phrase) and we are immediately now finding a way to a 57 pig day.   57?  ...it's 54 already.   which enters a subtle addendum to all of this. usually we also go above guidance by at least decimals if not intervals of whole degrees, too.   we may touch 60? i haven't been paying too close of attention to the day's synopsis because there were bigger fish to smack us across the face with ( while counting what we get to fry haha ) ... maybe this is a cap high 

anyway ...we'll settle back to just being above normal tomorrow by some unnoticed amount, but it will be above normal until we get a direct feed.

Feb 2015 obscured any discussion to not happening, because it was 10f for three straight weeks or something ludicrously negative - but really ... that stretch only made my point.  it was an unrelenting hugely negative sd epo/low amplitude +pna that intombed us in a reality avoidance about climate -

the more i look back at this last 20 or 30 years...  i remember discussion about how the climate zones, moving inevitably north up the eastern seasboard, was promoted with dialogue about how you won't notice when you've crossed thresholds - you'll just sort of notice one day that your fucked for ever getting back to your nostalgia.   well ?   if the shoe fits.   i spend time in the mid atlantic every late autumn since the late 1990s (...fam/holidays..etc...) what i've experienced, particularly the last 4 years, is beginning to remind me of morristown nj.  it's almost spot on, really.  my sister, "...yeah, we get cold ... maybe even some snow, rarely. but it's gone the next day and two days later its kind of mild"    sound familiar?  struck me as so when she said it. 

Great post!

6 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

The warmth ahead is impressive, but to me the lack of cold behind these fronts is the more interesting story. Keep in mind this is *while* the pacific is cooperating...

Have to go way up into UP of Michigan or far interior Ontario to even find temps at freezing...

 

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16#

That has been the story for a number of years. The "Montreal Express" rarely makes an appearance. 

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

They only got 9.9 last season 

,,and the other years prior to that one????????

9 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

I mean it may be a sad look to a once promising pattern, but we do this same song and dance every season. We've "wasted" December, when a place like ORH only averages about 10" through this date and has 7.5" on the season. The season could still end up just fine.

Take a look at Boston's December snowfall totals over the last decade..

3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

So are we writing off this winter too now? I know it seems like it's a rerun of last winter in some respects. But we do still have January, February and even March.

It's a broken record in here. Something's got to give. We'll see if it's this season

At this point a significant pattern change is needed....