JC-CT

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Warmer here

I assume this is why? There was more confluence early on but it looks like a net warmer result.

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

That's probably pure sleet with pixie dust mixed in....the cold layer is -10C on that which can actually form dendrites and the warm layer looks +3C-ish.....in addition the cold layer is really deep.

good, thx.

that's a big difference at 850 on the NAM vs 6z through hour 20ish. Not sure if the warm tongue extends above that.

edit: it does

Just now, dryslot said:

Right where i placed the dot...............

 

oh good, you are on the side you want to be on lol. that would be a pounding of wet snow, congrats

I wonder if weather model pages are pulling the HRRR ptype right from its own algorithm. Because it pretty much shows sleet and freezing rain as overlapping in all areas where there is either...possible that the graphics are pulilng fzra if it's present. Some areas that it shows fzra would definitely be sleet-heavy. For example, the ptype graphics show this as fzra on TT, whereas in reality it is probably a solid mix of ip/fz.

5 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I thought the 6z NAMs precip-type depiction over on the College of DuPage models page was a very reasonable projection of the evolution today/tonight/tomorrow. Skinny area of ZR pushing south, expanding area of sleet followed by a dusting of snow.

Dont tell ineedsnow

@dryslotlol you really are riding the line

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Latest MJO looks good going forward 

Count me lucky stars, horseshoes, clovers and blue moons

17 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said:

Elephant Man status here. “Look away, damn it, look away” 

Still glacierized here. The footprints will start coming through soon enough though.

1 minute ago, tavwtby said:

Amazing how 40 degrees feels like 65 after the month we just had, and a the first 40 degree day in autumn feels like below zero, cold rain here, but as I said feels warmer than 40

Alaskan shorts weather

Just now, dryslot said:

Where are you again... nw of Portland?

6 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

All good. I had very little faith in my report which is why I didn’t report to the NWS. One day I’d like to be able to collect more data including LE during snow events.

I just bought a stratus just for that purpose. It was $40 on amazon

6 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Just one comment i wanted to make, this was the first time trying to do a liquid equivalent map and ratios. If i didn't use your total it was most likely because i needed to use a report that had both and snowfall total and liquid total to derive a ratio. It wouldn't make sense to use a snowfall report from one person, a melted liquid report from another and ratio combining the two.

I wish I had been able to get you a le in time...pretty sure I had ratios under 10 which was the main culprit of my low total. I've never seen such shitty snow growth for an entire storm before.

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

HREF FRAM

Poor tolland county tho. Washed with dews, or pelting with sleet?

3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

With only 1/3 of that accreting, I"m calculating 0 - less than a 10th.  Stay safe.

It's a little early to start drinking, no?

20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I think that’s gone too. It was like summer out there running earlier. Just drenched in sweat.. thick snow eating fog and warm Sw winds blowing. It’s amazing how fast snow can melt in these conditions. To think snow lovers on the board take pleasure in pack wipeouts makes you sick . 

Cheer up buttercup

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

3k over 2" liquid here as well.

20" in store?

Your spot looks great

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

He's 0 for 3 so far.

You act like that's ever stopped him

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

The new clown maps

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Never fear…THE NAM is here…in a few minutes. 

yeah, I mean it's clown range HRRR, but hell...is anything showing anything all that interesting south of the pike? not really.

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

ya it is!   just north of here gets a heck of a ice storm upper levels are torched

maybe somewhere in the berks...east of that, it's only a few hours of meh

lol

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I’d be happy with a little sleet and snow, but I think this just isn’t working out. 

we need to talk

Just now, CT Rain said:

HRRR is close to a straight rainer south of the Pike lol

might as well be...30+ hours of dews in the 40s, pack obliterator

Just now, powderfreak said:

That'll do pig, that'll do.

feel free to just lop all of ct right off the map. it's better that way