I think a lot of all the angst comes down to one thing. Expectations. We watch the pattern, it is good. Something shows up 2 weeks out, awesome. Next run shows 15-20 inches in spots and many getting 7-12, people start buying in. It closes to 10 days, and although one (or even two) models show SOMETHING, it isn't the 'big one' and those expectations start to slid. Then *poof* one model has a snizzlefest, majority go OTS and one is a cutter, chaos. A minor model brings something back at day 4, then a major shows promise, we buy in again. Day two we have cold/dry air as there isn't even a storm anymore. I think the best thing (and what I have decided to do) is watch but don't buy in until day 4 at max, and then only if half the models have SOMETHING showing that appears to have a bit of consistency.