J.Spin

From a quick look at the models, I think at least a few inches at elevation through 00 Z Friday is quite likely. Right now the BTV NWS forecast discussion mentions 1-4” from late tonight into Wednesday, and then some additional snow showers Wednesday night into Thursday in their discussion. Something like 4-6” wouldn’t surprise me, so the potential is there for some fresh snow-enhanced conditions on the slopes in the Wednesday-Thursday time period. Up above 3,000’ or so, temperatures look to be below freezing right into the weekend once they come down overnight. After that it looks like there’s some snow potential for Friday night with that northern stream system. As someone mentioned in the discussion thread, it would be kind of nice to see what it would do if it wasn’t under the influence of that developing low off the coast and just came through as a Northern Greens bread and butter sort of system, but maybe some inverted trough type of setup could be beneficial. In any event it looks like the slopes have a couple of potential shots going as we head through the next few days, and as always it will be fun to see what the mountains do with the moisture.

Event totals: 0.2” Snow/Trace L.E. I found 0.2” of snow on the boards this morning, which the BTV NWS forecast discussion indicates is in association with warm air advection from this next frontal system coming into the area Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.2 inches New Liquid: Trace Temperature: 22.4 F Sky: Cloudy Snow at the stake: 14.0 inches

Event totals: 2.5” Snow/0.05” L.E. We’ve cleared out, so this should mark the end of this event. Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.5 inches New Liquid: Trace Temperature: 18.7 F Sky: Mostly Clear Snow at the stake: 14.0 inches

I’ve updated the north to south listing with what appear to be the final totals from the Vermont ski areas for Winter Storm Odell with what I’ve found today. Storm totals topped out in the 30-40” range in the Northern Greens, 10-20” in the Central Greens, and 2-6” in the Southern Greens. This was definitely one of those events with a notable disparity between the northern and southern areas of the spine. Jay Peak: 38” Smuggler’s Notch: 36” Stowe: 40” Bolton Valley: 30” Mad River Glen: 20” Sugarbush: 11” Pico: 11” Killington: 11” Okemo: 2” Bromley: 6” Magic Mountain: 4” Stratton: 6” Mount Snow: 6”

In that specific duration, or for full storm cycles in general? I posted the approximate numbers earlier in the thread using extrapolation from my data: 36-40” storm cycles on Mansfield should be roughly a once-a-year occurrence. I would defer to PF for more exact numbers, but I don’t believe he typically tracks snowfall by specific storm cycles/events the way I do with mine.

I’ve added the updated Mansfield Stake Plot from Matt Parrilla’s site below, which incorporates yesterday’s addition. We had more snow overnight here at the house and it’s snowing decently right now, and I’m sure Mansfield has gotten some as well, but it’s been pretty fluffy stuff so I don’t know if it will enhance the snowpack depth very much.

Event totals: 2.0” Snow/0.05” L.E. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.5 inches New Liquid: 0.01 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 50.0 Snow Density: 2.0% H2O Temperature: 14.5 F Sky: Light Snow (2 to 4 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 16.5 inches

Event totals: 1.5” Snow/0.04” L.E. The backside lake-effect snows from Winter Storm Odell finally tapered off today, but the models have been showing another system on its heels in the Saturday night timeframe. I’d actually forgotten about this system until I looked out back before heading off to bed and saw a stack of snow on the snowboard. Details from the 12:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 1.5 inches New Liquid: 0.04 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 37.5 Snow Density: 2.7% H2O Temperature: 14.7 F Sky: Light Snow (2 to 8 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 16.0 inches It’s still snowing out there, but this evening’s accumulation will mark the end of February snow for this season. The month will therefore finish with 37.5” of snow, which is just a bit below average thanks to the productivity of the past few days.

Well, based on the numbers above that I posted earlier this month during the Winter Storm Kade period, you should reel in roughly one 36”+ or 40”+ storm cycle a season on average. Sometimes they sort of sneak up on you like this one, but it certainly delivered. Here at the house, this storm has definitely been an assist with respect to keeping us at the roughly average snowfall pace we’ve been riding for much of the season. Average snowfall to this point in the season is a bit over 120”, and we’d been slipping behind that pace, but Odell has brought us back up within a couple inches of average.

I’ve updated the north to south listing of available totals from the Vermont ski areas for Winter Storm Odell with what I’ve found today. Jay Peak: 32” Smuggler’s Notch: 32” Stowe: 39” Bolton Valley: 28” Mad River Glen: 14” Sugarbush: 11” Pico: 11” Killington: 11” Okemo: 2” Bromley: 6” Magic Mountain: 4” Stratton: 6” Mount Snow: 5”

Event totals: 11.4” Snow/1.67” L.E. Details from the 12:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.4 inches New Liquid: 0.02 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 20.0 Snow Density: 5.0% H2O Temperature: 29.3 F Sky: Light Snow (2 to 8 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 16.0 inches

Event totals: 11.0” Snow/1.67” L.E. We picked up another 0.2” through midnight last night, and then I woke up to another 3” as the lake effect band has been moving back southward. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 3.0 inches New Liquid: 0.07 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 42.9 Snow Density: 2.3% H2O Temperature: 16.9 F Sky: Snow (2 to 10 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 16.5 inches

Well, the updated Mansfield Snow Depth Plot pretty much tells the story – this is clearly the most substantial deviation above average we’ve seen so far this season.

Great shots PF, this seems to be hitting a tier of powder that we hadn’t really reached yet this season. I checked back, and Winter Storm Kade earlier this month had general 20 to 30-inch storm totals for the local resorts (Smuggler’s Notch: 29”, Stowe: 19”, Bolton Valley: 22”, Mad River Glen: 22”), but somehow this one feels a bit bigger.

The models do suggest that lake moisture will move back south as the winds shift and things eventually dissipate. It certainly doesn’t look as intense as the moisture passes back through the area, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see some additional flakes. Some of the models have flakes lingering through Sunday morning. We just got hit by another pulse that dropped a fresh couple of tenths:

Thanks PF, I figured you guys would update the storm total beyond the 14" that was on the website once you had time. It was pretty obvious that there was significantly more than that based on the reports from the surrounding resorts, and then your of course your images. I’ve updated the storm total list below – you guys are the only northern resort that has made an evening update thus far, but we’ll see what updates are made tomorrow. Jay Peak: 20” Smuggler’s Notch: 20” Stowe: 30” Bolton Valley: 20” Mad River Glen: 14” Sugarbush: 10” Middlebury: 6” Pico: 6” Killington: 6” Okemo: 2” Bromley: 6” Magic Mountain: 4” Stratton: 6” Mount Snow: 3”

Event totals: 7.8” Snow/1.60” L.E. Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.8 inches New Liquid: 0.03 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 26.7 Snow Density: 3.8% H2O Temperature: 21.7 F Sky: Partly Cloudy Snow at the stake: 14.5 inches

Here’s the north to south listing of available totals from the Vermont ski areas for Winter Storm Odell thus far. Some resorts may have done midday updates, so those will have some of this morning’s snow included already. There’s still moisture from the Great Lakes affecting the area, so the numbers may still change a bit in the next day or so. Jay Peak: 20” Smuggler’s Notch: 20” Stowe: 14” Bolton Valley: 20” Mad River Glen: 14” Sugarbush: 10” Middlebury: 6” Pico: 6” Killington: 6” Okemo: 2” Bromley: 6” Magic Mountain: 4” Stratton: 6” Mount Snow: 3”

Event totals: 7.0” Snow/1.56” L.E. Below I’ve got my updates from the past couple rounds of observations at our site. Snow is off and on, and at times rather heavy as we get influenced by the lake moisture assist from upstream in the Great Lakes. Details from the 12:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 1.8 inches New Liquid: 0.10 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 18.0 Snow Density: 5.6% H2O Temperature: 23.4 F Sky: Light Snow (1 to 8 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 15.5 inches Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.2 inches New Liquid: 0.01 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 20.0 Snow Density: 5.0% H2O Temperature: 21.4 F Sky: Light Snow (1 to 2 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 14.5 inches

Event totals: 5.0” Snow/1.46” L.E. My wife and the boys were home today due to school vacation, so they were able to get an intermediate sampling for water analysis. The morning started as the cat paws I reported on before, which brought an impressive 0.58” of liquid, then it changed over to snow and brought 1.9” of snow with 0.36” of liquid equivalent, and finally the afternoon session brought 2.8” of snow with an additional 0.16” of liquid equivalent. The snow had shut off in Burlington by the time I was heading home today, and there was essentially nothing falling all the way through Bolton Flats. Then I started ascending the pass toward the house and the snow suddenly started to appear. It had picked up to a steady moderate snow by the time I reached the house, and we’ve had light to moderate snow going on since I’ve been here. Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 4.7 inches New Liquid: 0.52 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 9.0 Snow Density: 11.1% H2O Temperature: 27.7 F Sky: Snow (3 to 20 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 15.0 inches

Yeah, I see that snow is passing the 8” mark on the Stowe Snow Stake Webcam – and that’s after the accumulation was cleared this morning. Even the lower valleys are accumulating now – we’ve had pounding snow at times here in BTV over the past couple of hours and we’ve got about ½” – 1” of accumulation here at UVM now that the temperature has come down. At the house in Waterbury I see that we’ve picked up about 1” or so.

Yeah, I see that snow is passing the 8” mark on the Stowe Snow Stake Webcam – and that’s after the accumulation was cleared this morning. Even the lower valleys are accumulating now – we’ve had pounding snow at times here in BTV over the past couple of hours and we’ve got about ½” – 1” of accumulation here at UVM now that the temperature has come down. At the house in Waterbury I see that we’ve picked up about 1” or so.

Yeah, I see that snow is passing the 8” mark on the Stowe Snow Stake Webcam – and that’s after the accumulation was cleared this morning. Even the lower valleys are accumulating now – we’ve had pounding snow at times here in BTV over the past couple of hours and we’ve got about ½” – 1” of accumulation here at UVM now that the temperature has come down. At the house in Waterbury I see that we’ve picked up about 1” or so.

I saw that when I took a look at some of the models earlier – very neat to see it roll out all the way over into Maine, but sometimes that happens. The frame you chose has that band going right over me and PF in the Bolton-Stowe region.