Go Kart Mozart
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Everything posted by Go Kart Mozart
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lol, 06 gfs, hour 384 makes this winter a smashing success for all.
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What are you looking at other than the next week or so? The AO is forecast to fall of a cliff after that. We will get help from the arctic, and it is far from too late. I am sure you remember 1993...a dog of a winter until March.
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Remember 1960, or even 1993 which was crap down here until March. This isn't over. Have we ever had "great Leap Year blizzard"?
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Ye of little faith, so the space ship has not arrived to take us to our utopia on the planet Remulak, but when it does come, it will be bigger and more beautiful than ever!
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Ha ha, GEFS look great days 11-15!
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For those who have the EPS days 11-15, does that anti-cyclone over Greenland show any signs of strengthening?
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When everyone capitulates...it's time to buy.
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Too bad it's GFS based:
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Yeah, OK....can this hold for the next 46 runs?
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This isn't the worst thing I have ever seen:
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The year after a solar minimum. Epic blocking fest reminiscent of 2009-2010, with storms tracking 75 miles further north due to the HC expansion.
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And about 10mb weaker?
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The grouping literally near Bermuda has to be specious.
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Silence for 15 minutes. Is everyone as confused by euro at 102 as I am?
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Reminds me of the lead-up to Boxing Day
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If euro is showing its old bias, and is just half-a-day slow ejecting the energy from the desert SW....
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Will lack of isentropic lift be a problem with this storm no matter where it tracks? I can see a case of weenie band or nothing at all.
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Miller As are the best bet for SWCT. With Miller Bs, the low tends to redevelop tight to the NJ/DE shore, sending the first mega band through NJ into the Hudson Valley. Then you can get a triple point re-development further east, which bombs eastern New England...leaving us in the pork-hole.
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That innocuous low that goes off the SC coast and out to sea tomorrow does heroic work by looping around and ending up in the 50/50 position at just the right time!
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If you look at the EPS, note that next weekend's storm exits the stage due right along the 39 parallel. This is how -NAOs are formed. Ray has been on the money so far...I am riding the hot hand for a -NAO February. The nadir of the solar cycle argues for a -NAO if not at the end of this winter, then more likely for next.
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I don't hate 540 thicknesses.
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Along with Brady and Belichick anouncing their retirements, and the Red Sox under .500 while the Yankees have a ten game lead...
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Maybe it begins to manifest at the end of this winter....March?
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I have read some research (unfortunately I don't have a link) theorizing that the best blocking occurs 1 to 2 years after the solar cycle minimum...for instance 09-10, and 10-11. If that holds true, look out for the next two winters.
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Holy graupel storm!
