IWXwx

I thought that I'd post this here for posterity. This storm produced the last tornado of 2018. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 702 PM EST TUE JAN 1 2019 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0338 PM TORNADO DOGWOOD 38.10N 86.09W 12/31/2018 HARRISON IN NWS STORM SURVEY AN EF-1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR DOGWOOD, IN DESTROYING MULTIPLE TREES, DAMAGING MULTIPLE BARNS/OUTBUILDINGS, AND DAMAGING A MARTIN HOUSE AND CHICKEN HOUSE ALONG ITS 2.2 MILE PATH. MAX WIND SPEED WAS 100 MPH WITH MAX PATH WIDTH 140 YARDS.

I got spoiled by 2013-14. All I had to do was fart and it would snow.

I posted the winter cancel above as a joke, but as a winter lover it can get pretty depressing with 2" going into the new year. I checked IND and IWX temps and they both have had above normal temps for the past 21 days straight.

I have a sneaking suspicion that my Davis Wx Station needs the barometer calibrated as it is showing 992.6mb. The low isn't even overhead, it is still just to my wsw. It should be around 997

Last Tornado Warning for 2018? And in Indiana (and KY) of all places! BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 312 PM EST MON DEC 31 2018 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN HARRISON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA... NORTHWESTERN MEADE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY... NORTH CENTRAL BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY... * UNTIL 345 PM EST/245 PM CST/. * AT 311 PM EST/211 PM CST/, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH OF HARDINSBURG, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CORYDON, BRANDENBURG, MAUCKPORT, NEW AMSTERDAM, LODALE, MYSTIC, BATTLETOWN, RAYMOND, FRYMIRE AND RHODELIA.

A little bit of moisture to work with

I guess that it's only fitting to end a forgettable weather year with 34° and rain

Will can keep posting that same picture all winter and we'll never know the difference. Once it gets that deep, 4 or 5 mores inches really doesn't matter.

This morning's GFS says lol to a lasting cold air dump, with Pacific air flooding in and telling the arctic air mass to move along. But hey, we might get something as it rolls through as IWX alluded to and also get a couple of days of Beavis weather. The 12Z Euro agrees at the end of it's run and it depicts 850's not as cold as the GFS. However, it appears to be primed to send some reinforcements from Canada just after day 10.

...or Kansas. Basically everything along and 100 miles north of I 70 from Columbus west to Effingham IL is pretty bland other than a few river valleys. However, I find areas in Southern IN comparable to southern OH in beauty.

.....also if only that Boxing Day 1040 high would be displaced a couple of hundred miles southeast....

The 12z GFS is still showing a Christmas clipper...............for Bo and Will The Canadian at least depicts returns down the WI/IL and MI/IN line and even gives Toronto some flakes on Christmas evening.

Solid

Below is the 12z iteration of the GFS on New Year's Day. This points out the difference between our subforum rationally discussing the possibilities and the EC out on a 300+ hr GFS op run, FV3 or otherwise.

Hoosier's thermal optimism FTW.

Amos at IWX sums it up with today's long term discussion opening: REST OF THE FORECAST IS INCREDIBLY DULL January's gonna rock.

Lol at the sucker hole in Huntington, Wabash, and Miami Counties in IN.

Jebman doesn't have anything on me. I saw that yesterday on the 384 hr GFS, a Christmas eve blizzard. I'm already stocking up on supplies.

I lol when the point forecast algorithm does this. Can you say wintry mix? Wednesday A chance of rain and snow before 2pm, then a chance of rain between 2pm and 3pm, then a chance of rain and snow after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Night Rain likely, possibly mixed with snow before 7pm, then rain likely between 7pm and 3am, then a chance of rain and snow after 3am. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday A chance of snow before 7am, then a chance of rain after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Meanwhile, out this way I've seen flakes fly on 19 days already this year but have nothing to show for it. Greatest accumulation: 0.5". Looking forward to a cold rain later this week.

I spent 25 years working in Marion and living in Grant County. IWU is one of the very few redeeming qualities of that community. It's bad enough living in this area, let alone there.

Then Indiana's suicide rate should be much higher

Lol. I thought that I was the only hoosier lamenting our recent dearth of snow. Ready to change our state nickname to hosed. Lol II at throwing in the towel at Hoosier's 384 Hr GFS Hail Mary.