IWXwx

Personally speaking, it wasn't overhyped. I've had one friend die from it, although he had other high-risk health issues. I also have two other friends who have it. One was in the hospital for two weeks and the other is still in the hospital and has been there for four weeks. Both of these individuals were healthy and are middle-aged. There were times when the prognosis was grim for both and I thought I was going to lose three friends from it. I completely agree with the State of Indiana's response. I work in Emergency Management and we (along with the Health Dept.) head up the local response and PPE acquisitions. I continue to tell people that proclaim it is an overreaction because the numbers haven't hit computer model projections, "You're welcome." Because if nothing had been done, it would have been ugly, especially for the high-risk groups.

Part of IND's discussion. Appropriate for today. THESE ARE NOT THE TEMPERATURES WE ARE LOOKING FOR... MODELS SHOW THAT THERE WILL BE PREDOMINATELY BE A NW FLOW ALOFT WHICH WILL LEAD TO TEMPS WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. LOW TEMPS LOOK TO GET DOWN INTO THE 30S THIS WEEKEND, WITH FRIDAY LIKELY THE COLDEST WITHIN THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAY THE WARMTH BE WITH YOU.

A forecaster at IWX mentioned today that he had to pull rain/snow from the grids. Yes, we've seen snow in May, but it is unusual and unwanted. I'm going to have to rent a tent to cover all of the flowers and vegetables in my back yard. When I saw what the models were pumping out a few days ago, I blew it off, figuring they would come to their senses, so I worked my butt off getting everything in the ground. It now looks like that may have been a mistake.

Yeah, it ended up farther north, but I was shocked to see it get close on the temps and qpf.

Mother Nature's way of keeping us staying at home.

Even April 2012 was only slightly above normal, but felt brutal compared to Morch.

However, I will agree that Aprils have been loaded with suckage here in the past few years. Two thirds of the way through April, 2020 shows FWA sitting at a -2.6° departure. Four out of the past five years had temperature near or below normal: 2019 +0.5° 2018 -5.9° 2017 +5.2° 2016 -0.7° 2015 +0.5° It would be nice to have some more nice Aprils after having to endure yet another crappy winter.

Catastrophize much?

The same across Northern IN. IWX kept pumping out widespread 4-6" maps between US 24 and US 6, while their SitRep kept saying that the heavy band would not be that wide. It was obvious that there would be no more than narrow band of 4-6". This band occurred, but not in the area depicted, but north of US 6. 1.6" of stat-padding here with forecasts of 2-5".

You sound like Harry Caray calling a home run.

Half way there. After the winter we've had, I'm surprised to see a stripe of heavy snows near the 40th parallel in Missouri/Iowa in mid April, although I guess I shouldn't. I want pics of snow-caked limbs.

My only response is Wow! No matter how hard man tries to control his environment, Mother Nature occasionally lets you know who's boss.

I read them and agree. Unfortunately for my wife, I have been privately voicing the same thoughts, albeit not so eloquently, for a few years now.

Sorry Hoosier, that was my fault. I know 4 people who have contracted Covid and three of the four may not make it. Then Jack's post upset me. I'm trying to stay neutral and do my job of helping those in need, but it has hit really close to home. Our agency's work right now involves trying to get our frontliners the PPE to do the job safely, as well as keep residents in long-term health care facilities safe. That's close to home too, because I have several friends working with these high-risk residents. This is not official, but I can foresee the stay-at-home declaration remaining in Indiana until at least the first full week of May and maybe the second week. Once again, I didn't mean to inject politics into this, I'm just frustrated by how slow the wheels sometimes turns.

I'm very sorry for your loss Jack. From your description, he sounds like the type friend that everyone wishes they had and needs. My prayers go out to you and his family. My job has me right in the middle of this and that story just breaks my heart. In my position, I can't express my political views. I have to be apolitical. That being said, I know that it is water under the bridge now, but when the CDC declared a public health emergency on January 30th, THAT's when action should have been taken, not waiting until the middle of March. Talk about closing the gate after the cows got out. Instead, what we heard from leadership was that this was a Democratic party hoax. I don't care if the President is Republican, Democrat, Independent, or a Martian, that was poor display of leadership. This type of event is a REAL type of threat to our great country. Sorry that I made this post a rant, but when I hear a story like this, it hits home pretty hard. Once again my condolences to you Jack.

You can have it. Nudge it north 150 miles.

Chris at IWX isn't ready to buy what the GFS is selling........yet. WITH COLD AIR ACROSS THE REGION, MODELS HAVE BROUGHT ACCUMULATING SNOW FOR LATE WEEK. THEY ALSO HAVE VARYING AMOUNTS OF PHASING WITH THE GFS SHOWING MORE PHASING AND, AS A RESULT, HIGHER SNOW AMOUNTS THAN THE EC/CMC. WILL CONTINUE SIDING AWAY FROM THE GFS FOR NOW UNTIL BETTER CONFIDENCE COMES IN FOR THIS PERIOD. If that map would happen to verify, it would be the ultimate in stat padders for the D- winter of 2019-'20.

Agree. The models overdid moisture on the last storm right up to the last minute, something they were consistently guilty of all winter. Anecdotally, my "heavy rain" turned into 0.16" over two days. Granted, it may be comparing apples to oranges (Convection-robbing moisture throughout the south with the last system), but it has been a constant theme.

Had a squall here about half an hour ago. Large dendrites blowing sideways with gusts to 50.

Just curious, do people find any morels in that area?

I had some real nice boomers this morning between 2:45 and 5:30 this morning. I got up and threw a window open to listen to the rain/thunder and smell the petriclor. Ended with 1.09" although areas in the south part of the county had well over 2".

Enhanced Risk Incoming

My thoughts exactly.

Marion County (Indy) has 44% of all of the cases in Indiana. In fact, the only other counties in triple digits of cases are Johnson and Hamilton which are both suburbs of Indy and Lake which is next to Chicago. It's very obvious that social distancing makes the difference.

The GFS providing a little levity at hour 360.