IWXwx
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Everything posted by IWXwx
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Cue Alek WAD. Or will it be WAW?
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I'm going to end up with 1.17" of precip for November (1.07" at FWA). Not completely dry, but if this keeps up, it's going to be a long winter. MI aside, Alek's WAD call is looking money so far.
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Matt Leach, TV met at FWA (WPTA), lurker, and occasional poster here, is calling for a front-loaded winter for this part of the sub. I would be interested in hearing why he made that call. Any thoughts here?
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Happy Thanksgiving. I'm in the mood for some mood flakes overnight, courtesy of the Lake.
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I wanted to hit my yard one more time, but the weather hasn't cooperated. Now it's to the point where it can just stay shaggy all winter.
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33 and rain
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Both the GFS and Canadian are showing Western Lower MI some lake love Friday night.
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50 years ago there were very few deer in this area. I had a neighbor who would go up to Northern Lower MI and bow hunt. He gave our family some one year and it tasted like pine tree. I didn't touch it again for 30 years. I finally tasted a local corn-fed one and have had others since then, and although much better, I still haven't acquired a taste for it.
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Looks about right. Mchenrysnow gets edged, although I'd move that ice line just a little farther north, say around Indy, Dayton and Columbus.
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Although it's not my geographical region, it's nice to see you posting your LES forecasts, @OHweather. Not only does it mean winter is coming, but I always learn a little meteorology from your posts. Welcome back! Also, lol at this thread being nearly seven years old.
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October FWA; 5th Wettest 7.31" +4.36" 18 days with measurable rain 7th Warmest 59.3° +6.1° 24 days above normal temps I could get used to Hotobers.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
IWXwx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The op Euro is off to an lol start to winter -
Boy, this thread's been dead. Oh, we're going to Dayton the first week of December to see Trans Siberian Orchestra. Hope we don't get 89'd.
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The same thing that happened to spring-two weeks worth in May
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1.91" here as of 7 AM. Picked around another 1/2" this morning. Rivers going into minor flood.
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Not even close to a frost out this way yet. Tonight will be the first night to get below 40 and the forecast calls for 39 before the clouds roll in with the approaching warm front.
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After I posted those CPC forecast maps yesterday, I thought they looked familiar. On the left is this year's predictions and last year's is on the right. Cut and paste?
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...oh, and here's their temp prediction, as if anyone would be surprised.
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Other than western Colorado, the Dakotas and Minnesota, CPC used that Nina map for their winter season precip prediction.
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Just when you think you've got ENSO figured out, climate change comes along and throws a wrench into the cogs.
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Meh, yeah more fall-like weather compared to the blast furnace we've been experiencing, but I'm seeing no chance of frost in the next 10 days, which is the normal dates of the first frost in our area. In fact, I'm not even seeing any 30's in the current modeling.
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I just told my wife yesterday that it seems that over the last few years the winter runs long with a short spring and summer runs long with a short autumn. Those 30-year averages kind of verifies that.
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I'm riding Brian D's Old Farmers Almanac model.
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Well okay then! Ludington-Lake Michigan
