Avdave

If we accumulate 25.9" by Jan 17, Ill pull an Antonio Brown down I 40 in Rush hour

With the way last winter was here, Ill take some flakes falling from the sky. Sadly Ill probably miss it as Ill be at work in the airport.

The bottom map is what will happen. Yes peeps in Virginia from Richmond to Roanoke and Charlottesville will do well. But Im keeping my expectation in check with some wet snowflakes mixed in with the rain and maybe a very brief period of snow. Im not even concerned about accumulation here it would just be nice to see some fall. Good luck to you guys in the Mtns. You should get a good clobbering out of this. Maybe blizzard like conditions in the higher elevations. Take pics for piedmont peeps

From RAL: .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 422 AM Saturday... During the day Sunday the front will move from approximately the foothills of NC eastward to roughly the I-95 corridor by late afternoon before the front stalls. This front will be accompanied by a band of showers and tstms that will be leftover from upstream activity the day before. As typical this time of year, instability will be marginal for svr weather; however deep layer wind shear will be abundant. Thus well have to closely watch temperature trends during the daytime Sunday and to what extent heating will contribute to instability. In any event, given the low end potential for svr convection, much of southern and southeast portions of central North Carolina are highlighted as marginal in the SWODY2. By late in the day Sunday the southern portion of the upper trof will attempt to close off while gradually pivoting to negative tilt by Sunday night. Vigorous forcing for ascent ahead of this negatively tilting upper trof, by way of phasing of the northern stream right entrance region coupled with the southern stream left exit region of the upr jets, the GFS and European models both show surface low pressure development along the southern end of the front over eastern or southeastern Georgia Sunday night. Should this indeed happen, the large scale upward forcing assoc with the surface low lifting NE across the coastal plain of the Carolinas coupled with the abundant moisture advection from the Atlantic could support a heavy rain event across parts of central North Carolina late Sunday and Sunday night. In fact, some localized flooding of poor drainage areas looks like a possibility Sunday night despite current drought situation. In addition, a svr convection potential will exist east and southeast of the surface low track and in conjunction with the warm sector Sunday and Sunday night, thus we`ll have to closely watch that track. As if these elements werent enough, as the low exits to our east and cold air wraps around from the north, BL temps will rapidly fall, and both the GFS and European suggest that the rain may briefly mix with some wet snow mainly along and north of the highway 64 corridor during the 9Z to 15Z time frame on Monday morning. Given the short duration of this wintry mix event, the antecedent warm surface conditions, and given the fact that the boundary layer temperatures will be marginally cold for wintry precip anyway, we believe that any wet snow that falls will have very little if any impact Monday morning. Its worth noting that the NAM is much more progressive with both the surface front during the day Sunday and subsequent low pressure development along it. In fact, its low pressure development along the front doesnt happen until the system is well to our east, thus resulting in a non-event for us for our area Sunday night. Unfortunately however, that model solution is an outlier among the guidance envelope. In terms of temps Sunday and Sunday night, high temps on Sunday of course will be dependent on cloud coverage and precip timing and placement. But right now it looks like most of central NC should see high temp readings from the upper 60s across the Triad to mid 70s across our southeast zones. Lows Sunday night will happen just before sunrise Monday morning behind the departing cold front.

Seanus!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

1.47 MTD 50.30 YTD Past system .09" AC has been humming since we got back from SC Wednesday PM. Dews in the mid 60s, ugh.

It more like THANK YOU for what you do dealing with some PITA posters not in just this region but overall on the board. You and the Mods have a thankless job and you cant win with some of the posters. We are always here for you and yes we have had some great and fun times. I wish you a very happy , healthy and prosperous New Year.

That looks about right. I get 20 glakes while Rocky Mount gets a plowable event

LOL Smart ass. You know when I typed it I knew it was wrong but my mind couldnt get the right spelling so I said eff it

ugh, I cant imagine how it is down there. Imn in charleston, sc snd got to 78* today with a dewpoint in the low to mid 60s. It was kinda gross outside

Got a high of 76* here today We are still down an inch and a third below normal of precip for the year too

Yay for turning on the AC in December. This just plane sucks. My palms are loving it though

74 here currently. AC has been turned on. This sucks

Merry Tropical Christmas to all

Finished with .22" here. 1.38" MTD Blah. Now comes the warmth

High of 40* after a morning low of 31 So for the day with rainfall, we are sitting at .16"

Wow, you cleaned up nicely over there. Nice!! After a high of 65* at 12:01am we are now at our low of 39* for the day so far. Picked up .65" today and now at a whopping 1.15" MTD

Thanks. Yeah they will be happy wherever we go. I love your idea of the map and choosing a random location to go explore, that will be so much fun

I know its not here in the SE, but Ft Lee, NJ. WOW. Cant even see the GW Bridge with that super dense fog there now

Now that we arent going away, Im thinking somewhere J and I can take the dogs for a nice hike on xmas day

Got to 73* here after a low of 56* RDU broke a 100 year old record today as well getting to 73*. The old record was 72*

Nice!! you doubled almost what I got. Finished with .37" here MTD: .50" Down to 36* already here though which is nice. Time to breakout the Hawaiian Tropic this week as we get too warm and of course more dry

Not bad with a third of an inch there. Only got .12" here. Maybe something more substantial on Sat PM

Cant say Im surprised. Its just the way it has gone here of late. Cant catch a break. Maybe Saturday a better chance?

Whos going to win this week. The GFS or Euro. Last time I looked they were different scenarios.