That would also explain why the Ukie ensembles didn't do better because despite the greater amplification, it didn't produce because the tpv was further west.
The good news is that we still have 4 more days of waxing and waning. The bad news is the ensembles and some operationals say we clearly cannot, for whatever reason, shake the seasonal pattern even with the wave changes later in the season. Crazy.
Ensembles have been leaning east all along. Don't be surprised if they lean further east in light of the operational. I'll be happy if they hold, but preferably improvile of course.