cstrunk

4 hours ago, Snow88 said:

Euro has a Cat 1 into  the border of LA and TX at 144 hours

Quite a westward shift. Obviously still a long ways out, but at least it's something interesting to follow. Flooding will likely be the biggest threat (barring major intensification), but fortunately east Texas and LA haven't received as much rain recently as they did in spring, for the most part.

Seems like it's been a long time since we haven't had 2"-3" of rain in a week. Last nights storms brought 4.3" to my rain gage. The previous round last week brought 3". 

Lots of flooding issues across NE TX. More rain in the forecast before a nice brief reprieve over the weekend into Monday. Just in time for the Red Dirt Music & BBQ Festival! 

It's not over yet, but if doesn't look like there will be any snow here this winter. 

I'm ready for severe weather season. 

We've had some light/moderate sleet at times this evening in Longview but the temperature is above freezing and it's not enough to stick for long before melting. 

No wintery wx thus far in Longview, TX. Unless you count frost, we've had that.

Shreveport has added a 20% chance of snow late Monday night, so we have something to keep an eye on. The neighbors to the north don't seem very optimistic about the rest of winter, from what I gather in the other winter wx thread.

Well, I bought a simple, cheap rain gage and mounted it on my mailbox this weekend. It ended up reading 3.8", which I find hard to believe since radar estimates were generally 1.5"-2". A coworker who lives about 5 miles east of me ended up with just under 2". I'm glad that fall has arrived!

I ended up getting 0.4-0.5" of rain spread out over the weekend. Gordon never made it this far west, so totals were less than expected.

Light rain expected today and through much of the upcoming week. These lower temperatures are sure nice.

Looks like I'll miss out on most of the Gordon rainfall, but the residual tropical moisture combined with a trough of low pressure/cold front moving into the region late this week is forecast to bring some good rains to the area. Hopefully 2"+ like the WPC has shown on their QPF map.

I ended up with around 0.5" yesterday and today. Definitely needed. We only made it into the mid 80's today which was wonderful for Labor Day in Texas. 

I'm hoping we can cash in on some of the moisture from Gordon later this week, too. It seems like he might go a bit too far north/east. Something to track at least. 

Well, I missed again on the localized thunderstorms the last two days. Close, but no cigar. Frustrating. 

NWS gives us a 20% chance today, followed by a dry day or two before 40-50% chances return Sunday through Tuesday. Crossing my fingers. 

Hot and dry.

Slight chances for thunderstorms during mid-week coming up, but that's it.

On 8/11/2018 at 12:02 PM, cstrunk said:

We only have ended up with sprinkles the last couple of days, but finally managed to get about 0.5" or so with a nice shield of rain showers/embedded thunderstorms this morning. 

Maybe I can get greedy with another round this evening... We'll see!

I ended up with around 0.75" over the weekend. Picked up a little more on Sunday, we definitely needed it.

One of these days I'm going to invest in a personal weather station...

We only have ended up with sprinkles the last couple of days, but finally managed to get about 0.5" or so with a nice shield of rain showers/embedded thunderstorms this morning. 

Maybe I can get greedy with another round this evening... We'll see!

Finally able to "cash in" on about 0.3" or so this morning. Not much but it helps. Dry weather for the rest of the week is in my forecast.

We have returned to basically completely dry weather conditions for the foreseeable future in East TX. Highs are reaching the upper 90's with low-mid 100's forecast by the end of this week. 104F on Friday and Saturday. Hot hot hot!

Moderate to occasionally heavy downpours have been frequent across the area for the past week or so. Well, frequent everywhere but IMBY, as they're still too scattered in nature. Just can't catch a break.

NWS Shreveport mentions a NW-flow pattern setting up by mid-week next week that may bring some organized convection into the region overnight into early morning hours. I sure hope that pans out better than the spitting match mother nature is currently competing in around here.

A TUTT is moving west along the gulf coast, which is expected to provide increased rain chances over the next week. WPC currently has my location at about 1-1.25" over the next 7 days, with 4-5" possible farther south over the LA/TX coastal areas. Crossing my fingers.

On 6/20/2018 at 10:02 PM, cheese007 said:

Feels like there's an inverse relationship between severe storm liklihood and SPC risk level for the DFW metro this season

I think the same is true for many areas this season. 

On 6/18/2018 at 8:47 AM, cstrunk said:

Seems like I've had about 1" of rain total over the last couple of months. The tropical low is finally making its way towards Texas, and will help provide increased rain chances this week. WPC says 1.5" or so for this week... I'd be happy with 0.5" at this point.

Well, I guess something is better than nothing, but this has been very disappointing with such a tropical airmass in place. I keep consistently missing out on heavier showers/thunderstorms IMBY. Today was pegged as "the day" for rainfall and I may have received 0.20", tops. Maybe I'll get lucky and there'll be a rogue overnight storm with the weak frontal passage.

Seems like I've had about 1" of rain total over the last couple of months. The tropical low is finally making its way towards Texas, and will help provide increased rain chances this week. WPC says 1.5" or so for this week... I'd be happy with 0.5" at this point.

Missed out on all the storms late last week and over the weekend. Small chances throughout this week, but I'm keeping an eye on the tropics, hopefully this next system can stay far enough west to give Texas some good widespread rain next weekend/week. 

Looks like my rain dance worked. Missed the heavier downpours IMBY but still probably ended up with 0.4" or so. 

Just a few sprinkles so far IMBY. Clouds for most of the day from the MCS that fell apart to the west did a decent job of holding down temps. There's a few severe thunderstorms in the area but they're mostly just to my south. If I'm lucky I might get grazed by a shower and pick up 0.05" or so. I'm still holding out hope for more development overnight into tomorrow. I guess I better start my rain dance. 

It's hot.

Shreveport NWS discussion this morning notes that the early heat is reminiscent of summer 2011, although that winter/spring was much drier than this year.