cstrunk

20 minutes ago, aggiegeog said:

A couple tornado warnings in NE TX also

There was strong rotation in the storm that just moved through northern Longview, TX about 20 minutes ago. Knocked out out power. 

Seems like it's been a long time since we haven't had 2"-3" of rain in a week. Last nights storms brought 4.3" to my rain gage. The previous round last week brought 3". 

Lots of flooding issues across NE TX. More rain in the forecast before a nice brief reprieve over the weekend into Monday. Just in time for the Red Dirt Music & BBQ Festival! 

Still 4 active tornado warnings across NW TX and SC OK. Surprised this was never upgraded to a tornado watch.

Maybe it's just me, but the storms in SC OK already have that "look". More storms firing in NW/NC TX.

Meanwhile, farther east, the outflow boundary in NE TX and NW LA continues moving southward. It will be interesting to see if it slows down/stalls/moves back northward and if any storms fire along it and take advantage of the enhanced helicity. There is more upper level support in this area, and CAPE is high to its south. 

51 minutes ago, canderson said:

Parents near Longview in a closet right now, TOR warning and they heard the low rumble sound.

That area of rotation dissipated as it moved northeast, and another area of decent rotation formed without a tornado warning near Diana, TX. I called my friend to let them know, but there was no tornado warning. He said it was quite windy and they had lost power, so I told them to hang tight for 10 minutes or so in their closet. No other incident that I'm aware of and it looks like the rotation has weakened. 

13 minutes ago, yoda said:

Looks like a STW will be coming soon by 00z for N TX and S OK per MCD... maybe a TW... but I'd lean STW

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0373.html

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0078.html

Severe Thunderstorm Watch for central TX to extreme south central OK. Mentions the possibility of a tornado or two near the Red River.

57 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

Cumulus field definitely developing in eastern Texas now.

Not quite sure what you're referring to.

HRRR has really backed off of convective development in eastern Texas *early this evening, which I would expect given the persistent cloud cover, lower cape, and higher CIN.

*Edited... still has the line of storms sweeping through late.

If storms fire in east Texas, they currently have up to 300-400 ESRH to work with.

Foggy/misty currently here in Longview, TX.

Clouds are socked in pretty thick across east Texas. We'll have to see if that affects what the models are showing with storms firing out this direction.

Models are showing supercells/convection firing in the warm sector across east Texas... mainly along and north of the US 79 corridor (the hard hit area last Saturday) region later this afternoon. Definitely something to keep an eye on.

3 minutes ago, cheese007 said:

Lots of debris in the road on Bob Pack's stream

There's a tree blocking the road now, there's already a backhoe on scene working to remove the tree. That's some fast response.

On 3/25/2019 at 12:24 AM, cheese007 said:

Tor warning out by sulfur springs. I'm under I think my third severe tstorm warning of the night? Haven't seen anything yet though

Numerous reports of large hail and wind in East Texas from those storms. 

At my house, I woke up sometime after 2 am to the tornado sirens sounding in Longview. I checked the radar and saw it was weak and to my north (I wasn't in the warning polygon) so after the line reached my house without much ooomph, I went back to bed. 

I'd also keep an eye on the storm between Linden and Jefferson, TX. 

Tornado warning just west of Atlanta, TX. 

Severe storms east of DFW approaching the Tyler area look interesting, as far as wind/hail. I think the Athens-Tyler-Bullard area has the most short-term tornado potential. 

It's not over yet, but if doesn't look like there will be any snow here this winter. 

I'm ready for severe weather season. 

We've had some light/moderate sleet at times this evening in Longview but the temperature is above freezing and it's not enough to stick for long before melting. 

No wintery wx thus far in Longview, TX. Unless you count frost, we've had that.

Shreveport has added a 20% chance of snow late Monday night, so we have something to keep an eye on. The neighbors to the north don't seem very optimistic about the rest of winter, from what I gather in the other winter wx thread.

Well, that's what happens near strong fronts, especially in the spring or fall (or winter in the south).

Well, I bought a simple, cheap rain gage and mounted it on my mailbox this weekend. It ended up reading 3.8", which I find hard to believe since radar estimates were generally 1.5"-2". A coworker who lives about 5 miles east of me ended up with just under 2". I'm glad that fall has arrived!

I ended up getting 0.4-0.5" of rain spread out over the weekend. Gordon never made it this far west, so totals were less than expected.

Light rain expected today and through much of the upcoming week. These lower temperatures are sure nice.

Looks like I'll miss out on most of the Gordon rainfall, but the residual tropical moisture combined with a trough of low pressure/cold front moving into the region late this week is forecast to bring some good rains to the area. Hopefully 2"+ like the WPC has shown on their QPF map.

I ended up with around 0.5" yesterday and today. Definitely needed. We only made it into the mid 80's today which was wonderful for Labor Day in Texas. 

I'm hoping we can cash in on some of the moisture from Gordon later this week, too. It seems like he might go a bit too far north/east. Something to track at least. 

Well, I missed again on the localized thunderstorms the last two days. Close, but no cigar. Frustrating. 

NWS gives us a 20% chance today, followed by a dry day or two before 40-50% chances return Sunday through Tuesday. Crossing my fingers. 

Hot and dry.

Slight chances for thunderstorms during mid-week coming up, but that's it.