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About Wentzadelphia

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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    Northeast Philadelphia

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  1. January Med/Long Range Disco Part 2

    Verbatim it would probably end up being too warm this run, but if the cold press came a little bit faster could see an anafrontal type event. Only thing to track like I said since the HM storm is dead.
  2. January Med/Long Range Disco Part 2

    For example take a look at the 240 hour EURO animation. You can see the northern stream about to pinch off. This would allow the cold air to continue east and then the "pinched" off shortwave down south would then develop a new low with a rebuilding HP to the NW of it.
  3. January Med/Long Range Disco Part 2

    I'll try to brighten some moods around here with my Day 10 model analysis. I see signs of an anafront deal with that Day 10 front. The 12z CMC was about to develop a major winter storm after the front cleared, and the 12z EURO @ 240 hours looks like it has the front through PA with a lot of energy still behind. In situations like this you need a positively tilted trough so that the front clears while you have a lot of leftover energy so that a new low forms on the stalled out front. Of course I know it is a Day 10 map that I'm analyzing, but it is the only thing I can think of right now since the HM storm looks dead.
  4. 1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    I'm from Philly. Funny tidbit from that storm was the night before it looked like we'd see MAYBE 2 inches MAX. It was supposed to be a DC/MD/DE/SNJ special... A mesoscale band of heavy precip formed right over the city right before game time. I think the city got over 8" in a fairly short time span.
  5. Jan 16/17 light snow event.

    The page I get the the JMA from is off Earl Barker page. I don't even know if the 00z run goes out beyond 72 hours because on his page the 00z runs never do. That precip is just from 72 hours, so I imagine with the ULL almost positive and about to be even tilt negative it would be spit out some big time #s...Anyway, EURO should be be beginning any minute. Good luck to all. If EURO comes in decent I am going to hop on board.
  6. Jan 16/17 light snow event.

    Where is Ji? The 00z JMA (which is statistically much better) is basically a MECS. Don't have it beyond 72
  7. January Mid-Long Range Disco

    Agreed, I haven't browsed the forums in few days and I'm surprised people are even tracking this one. If you live on the East Coast our potential lies beyond this event.
  8. January Mid-Long Range Disco

    @ 156 hours lot of energy dropping down on the backside of the trough on the CMC
  9. January Mid-Long Range Disco

    Anyone want to road trip to Ohio?
  10. January 8th Light Wintry Mix Event OBS

    I'm seeing a lot more salt trucks out there today. That freak ice event a few years back was so bad because roads weren't treated. It will be nasty tonight though regardless
  11. January 3-4 "Threat"

    EURO is higher than 4-6" for the city. More like 6-10" honestly. Pretty remarkable. Have to stay up for the 6z NAM/RGEM. If they look anything like the EURO/UKIE it is game on. I think the News image someone posted earlier for totals down the shore is way too conservative. I think most of E NJ is 10-20" Also do not worry about that dry slot. This will fill in. Then the question remains, how far W did the main precip shield get to. That will decide the winners/losers. Not this current "dry region".
  12. Jan 4-6 Coastal Bomb

    Man I am so jealous of you guys right now. You can see run by run each model is just coming around to a major to historic event up there. I probably won't get to chase so enjoy it for me!
  13. Jan 4-6 Coastal Bomb

    The changes on the OP 12z EURO aloft were absurd for this time frame. The 250mb jet is misplaced like 500 miles. I'm feeling majorly confident E NE is going to see an all-timer honestly. This is going to keep improving I have no doubt. I wish I could afford a road trip right now, anyone want to let me stay with them for a few days? lol
  14. Jan 4th 2018 Fish Bomb

    Can you post the french site link?
  15. Jan 4-6 Coastal Bomb

    Posting this without reading the thread, but the 00z Ukie has a 963mb in the Gulf of Maine. 00z GFS was WAY E of that @ the same time frame.