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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Nice eps signal for that feb 2 system
  2. 12z euro is a big c pa hit between the 1st-3rd. Def a hint on the ensembles for a system in that time frame
  3. Humming here I go again. Euro has a slow moving Miller a b type system. Meanders like a March ULL. But the remnants of Thursday’s system holds some cold in long enough
  4. Gfs continues the 1st2nd threat, and cmc looks like a decent setup here if secondary takes over
  5. It’s not, but the issue is this model was the farthest N, you’d prefer to see it kind of stick and stay and other guidance trend towards it
  6. I know it’s hard to get excited for Lr events this year, but last nights runs definitely added intrigue for the 1st-2nd. 00z euro: Eps, cmc ens, and gefs all look favorable for that time period as well.
  7. Won’t have to wait that long either. Idk if anyone mentioned it but there’s a decent signal for a Miller b on the 1st- 2nd
  8. Can someone post 114 from gefs? You guys looking solid.
  9. For fun. NAM has the ULL pretty far north. I’ll take any good vibes I can get. Pretty healthy vort at 84.
  10. I noticed the same thing with the Brazilian Whatever happens , last nights 00z gfs run was the best 20 minutes of the winter.
  11. Yep, I think it has hit every province in Canada over the last few days of model runs lol
  12. I’ll be all set for mid feb if we can dc to get like 4-8, and like 2-4 here in philly out of this one
  13. Yea there’s more energy rounding the base of the shortwave. This may have not been north but probably would of had a storm develop faster
  14. It looks like the 50/50 influence is trending weaker, but that tpv lobe has obviously pressed SE. idk how much it plays a role though since the main ULL is closed off and cut off a bit anyway.
  15. I think recent verification scores (per source, woj) have the 12z gfs at day 5 behind the JMA FYI. Sad. Once again doesn’t mean the gfs is wrong. I like how it’s trending for you guys, up here in Philly best chance is for the ULL to spit out some flakes, but I’m rooting for you guys cause I’d gladly chase a strong coastal.
  16. Honestly this gives me more hope for Thursday. Euro has been terrible with this event too
  17. Pivotal is updating now since 00z last nught
  18. OP gfs actually has -epo form briefly, so block is still trying to Reform too so after a brief relaxation we get a decent pattern setting up after a huge storm in the 300 hr range
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