Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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Not as much as GFS, step in right direction at least. Euro Ai Has been nailing things lately, 18z euro kind of looks like 12z euro Ai with the amount of phasing. .
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Better phasing occurring .
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Euro looks better with N stream so far thru 74 .
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GEFs looks like the 12z euro Ai fwiw. I’m really hoping euro makes a nice stride here. If not by 00z .
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GEFS looks somewhat similar to the 12z euro Ai fwiw, little touch more aggressive .
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The GEFS is phasing! .
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Don’t worry about specifics, worry about the phase early on. Icon and GFS just surprisingly brought it back. This is an all or nothing situation, anxiously awaiting Euro .
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This is how tentative of a situation this is. You strengthen that N stream just a touch and it’s able to dive over the ridge and crash S. Just that small difference is what makes this go from a BECS or a flat wave that heads out to sea. I’m anxiously awaiting euro lol .
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One time! Lock it up, I’m not getting excited yet but if euro comes back at 18z I’ll lose my marbles lol .
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Holy fook .
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Mitch, folks…. .
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It’s diving all the way in, going to have to create some kind of big event… .
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Yep the trough is better positioned, it’s going to definitely be close .
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Yep, looks very 6z GFS esque, common… .
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You can tell the streams are better aligned here… common… .
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GFS has a stronger shortwave headed over the ridge, good sign early on… .
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Early on the GFS has a stronger vort going above the ridge .
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That was a phase, you can see N shortwave diving in. .
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Yea and also the northern vort is diving in, that’s a big step to what we want… really hope gfs or euro give us something .
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Good post, that was my point earlier this morning that the phase we need is almost at day 4 so I was hoping by 18z today we started seeing some hits across guidance. Then the 6z euro happened lol. Going to be tough but I guess you never know I know you guys hurting, but down here in Philly I haven’t seen a 6” snowstorm in like 4 years
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Take a look at difference of the shortwaves at top of ridge from current 12z euro and 00z euro. Newer runs weakened it. I really think this is what is partly hurting us. That shortwave isn’t as strong so isn’t diving as far S. .
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Excited for you DC weenies, enjoy it. Let us up N get next Saturday though, appreciate it .
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I agree, I was just relating to MJO. 6z euro going to the way it did mattered, but we can still quickly reverse it at 12z .
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Yep, next few suites are bigger than normal. Very tentative with that energy diving over the ridge. Yes MJO 6-18z euro runs can be wacky. I really want to see both the GFS and euro have it again at 12z and icon/cmc starting to show some phasing. Euro Ai being close again would be good as well. We’ll see .
