madwx

got down to 0 this morning.  about 8 degrees below the point forecast from last night

I move out of an apartment and into a house I bought at the end of this month.  Will finally be able to get reliable snow and precip measurements 

12z Euro has this in 2 waves now.  The initial cold shot from Friday through Tuesday and then a reinforcement of cold air in the middle of next week

1 minute ago, hlcater said:

Holy mother of blocks

lol 558 heights over Baffin Bay

I think it'll end up 10 or 15 degrees warmer but a good chance to break some record lows.   Super Bowl Sunday is gonna be cold

I'm all aboard this threat.  Will probably have to extend the timing of this as the cold looks to extend until the end of next week.  Long range GFS is probably overdone but definitely seeing the possibility of some below zero high temps.  

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

lol what

was wild

Euro in agreement with cold starting Friday after the EOW system with the core of the coldest temps on Sunday thru Tuesday with some slight moderation after that.

Some relevant record mins and low maxes for the period at MSN

5 -21 1936 -8 1895

6 -19 1977 -5 1875

7 -21 1875 -2 1893

8 -22 1899 -7 1875

9 -28 1899 -15 1899

10 -25 1899 -5 1899

11 -22 1885 -6 1899

Notable that all those 1899 dates are during the great Arctic outbreak where ice floes came out of the mouth of the Mississippi and New Orleans got down to their all time record of 6.  

GFS continues to show very cold air for about a week starting on Friday, with the brunt of the coldest air in the Sun-Tue timeframe.  After next week most long range models show the core of the coldest air shifting slightly NW to the Northern Plains, but it will still easily reach this region on the backside of any trough.

7 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said:

Cylones glacier

should soak in any of the rain , then a couple more inches of snow and stay solid with the cold 

then any more systems later  will just add to it 

could be a problem later on

luckily as of right now the snow pack in Northern Wisconsin and Minnesota is below climo norms which would temper some river flooding but plenty of time for that to change

looking more and more likely we will get a solid advisory level snow with this.  If the low tracks south of here, there's no chance we'll have enough warm air to keep it as rain

GFS bringing in the cold air much earlier.  Has subzero temps here by Friday.

18 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Current snow depth and snow water equivalent.  Over 2" of water in the snowpack over a pretty nice sized area.

 

This thing has staying power.  Probably going to have quite the snow melt/high river season in March.

January finished with:

Average temp of 21.9(+2.4 of 1991-2020)

Precip of 1.27"(-0.19" of 1991-2020) 

Snowfall of 17.0"(+3.3" of 1991-2020)

looks like we'll have a significant amount of sun the first half of this week, and any brutal cold next week will also have sunshine so turning out to be a much brighter first half of the month than January had

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

They grow up fast

You give me hope that I can still be a troll well into my parenting years

All signals are there for serious cold to be in place from the 7-14 of February.  Some signals that a piece of the TPV will come rotating through the area 

Death, taxes and the GFS showing insane cold in the extended 

Estimating about 5” total here but really tough to measure with all the drifts.  Sun peeking out a bit.  May get a few more snow showers the rest of the day

3.8" as of 6 AM at MSN.

Very light snow for the past couple hours here, lots of blowing and drifting

6.8” at ORD so far, 6.0 at RFD, 7.4” at MDW, 9.5” at LOT

1.6 inches at the MSN airport as of 9 pm

Still coming down but can’t get a large flake size.  Wind is howling out there which will make measuring futile 

Really coming down out there with a strong wind.  Flake size still small though 

Pouring small flakes here.  Already about a quarter inch on sidewalks