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Everything posted by frostfern
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
frostfern replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
You only need about 3” to cover most grass blades and be in “looks like winter” territory. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
frostfern replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Grand Rapids be like…. Me: The snow sure is pretty! Normie: -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
frostfern replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It’s been like another 4” of fluff every 24 hours here and too cold for salt to work most of the time. Having a longer commute and always having to scrape the car is wearing on people. I honestly would prefer to get snow all in one big dog event followed by blue sky compared to this. This is still more fun than boring and gray. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
frostfern replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
People are complaining like crazy here in Grand Rapids. Don’t know why snow haters live here. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
frostfern replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
El niño is coming back. Not sure this has to do with it but pfffffft. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
frostfern replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Well, I have relatives in SW Missouri and they will get slammed. Unless it ends up even farther south. A real synoptic storm would be nice at some point, but I’ve done well with the lake enhaced clipper train this past week. A fresh 4” every 24 hours, even more to the north and west. Likely breaking a foot of depth before it’s all over (though drifting always cuts down a little on the depth at GRR proper) -
Good depth junkie pattern for the west coast of Michigan. I have never seen normies b*tching this much though.
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Nice thunderstorm for January. Last snowbanks have melted.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
frostfern replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I need to bank on warmer spring months to offset boring thunderless summers lately. -
“A little bit of snow” is really common IMBY. Lots of minor lake effect dusters. People who don’t know how to drive on snow really shouldn’t live here. Very typical winter pattern right now.
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Clippers are still better than rainers.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
frostfern replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Sad. So long as snow is gone the warmer the better as far as I’m concerned. Really, anything is better than upper 30s / low 40s turd weather. -
A true big dog should have at least a small 16”+ jackpot, and 12”+ in a good chunk of backyards. Many times the jackpot will be dismissed if it isn’t over Chicago or Detroit though.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
frostfern replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I think I will still have snow *banks* even if grass is mostly visible. Also got a pile around 20’ tall at the local mall. Got to plow that sucker for the people doing donuts every Saturday night. -
Yea. I just don’t remember those storms as I was living in Seattle part of the time and missed them. GHDI was better here in GRR (though still a little short of the forecast with 15” verified as opposed 18” forecast) while GHDII was more concentrated along I-94 with lighter totals north (8-12”).
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He’s still wrong though. GHDI was on the heels of prolonged cold. Maybe that one wasn’t so good for SE Michigan, but the problem wasn’t too much cold.
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Yep. The only exception I can think of is one of those late season stalled fronts where it’s shorts weather to the south and waves of snow a couple hundred miles north. It isn’t the right time of year for that. It’s late Feb through early April for that kind of setup. Mid-winter big dogs need that arctic air nearby, usually to the NW.
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They do, but that warmth has to come from the south due to a southern stream low phasing and strengthening, not from a Pacific garbage airmass coming in from the west.
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The trough has to retrograde a little to open up the gulf, which didn’t happen with this outbreak. That doesn’t mean it’s impossible for a big dog to occur during a below average period.
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Unless you’re up in northern Minnesota, snow missing south has more to due weak disturbances with lack of phasing than temps being too cold. Big dogs don’t have trouble cutting up into arctic airmasses, provided they have the necessary depth. Pacific intrusions never help because they tend to split the jet.
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Nice mood flake day with a layered 10” on the ground to appreciate.
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December 11th-14th Double Banger Clippers
frostfern replied to Jackstraw's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I picked up about 3” of fluff with the arctic front last night. Lake effect is of the dusty slow-accumulating type now, but it’s picked up enough with wind going more WNW instead of NNW that another inch is possible overnight. -
Hard pass on the amount of CAD for me. I just can’t deal with -20 or -30. If that’s the price of not having any winter thaws, it’s a bit steep. I love 20s and snowcover, but the below zero crap is too much. I don’t care if it’s a “dry cold” or whatever. Still too f***ing cold for me. If you can find the place where the ground is white the full 3 months of meteorological winter, I need to find the place where the grass stays green all summer without excessive watering.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
frostfern replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Still a big long-term deficit near me. I have a shallow pond nearby that used to have a lot of turtles. It became a meadow last summer. I don’t know if it will come ever back. Once the tall grass takes over its hard for wetlands to refill. -
I imagine Edmonton can get chanooks which he would absolutely hate. I bet it also it has a similar snowfall pattern to other places to the lee of the Rockies, namely big dog storms happen mostly in the spring and fall with the heart of the winter being rather boring. I’m only really familiar with Calgary though. Edmonton likely has more snow and less chanooks. The amount of CAD would be miserable to me though.
