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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. The Navgem is pretty bad. Think of it this way: euro and gfs are MLB, Canadian is triple A, Navgem is Cape Cod league.
  2. Thanks Sahar! A few of us have noticed the Leon aspect of this. One more day and we start ringing the warning bell if it holds.
  3. It’s usually there but disrupted periodically. But it’s debatable how much difference it makes in the long run.
  4. It actually bombs the low 20 mb in 12 hours as it goes over the bm.
  5. Meh-I’m more worried about the opposite. This was not squashed- a bombing low over the bm this run.
  6. It’s got nothing to do with the vortex. Do some reading. Also, most of the time we talk about pv at H5 but are you referring to stratosphere?
  7. Not saying this is the case but isn’t digging and holding troffing west a known euro bias? Also, eps is most extreme. GEPS is a good compromise between eps and GEFS.
  8. Nah. It’s all timing with confluence-I think the end game is a moderate storm for northern SNE and most of NNE.
  9. A branch will end up on your lawn. It may tinkle your windows on the way down.
  10. The SV snow maps tend to be more conservative vs most. They’re no narcan though...
  11. Significantly improved 11-15 on eps for 0z. All of the ensembles (GEFS, GEPS, EPS) like the next Wednesday event as a cold swfe. Good night-day crew take from here....
  12. Not quite. Don was a generation earlier. Don was provably in his mid 20s when Bruce was born.
  13. Chrome warned me on that link. To put it in perspective, Bruce is probably close to 80 years old. He graduated college 4 years before I did and I'm 75.
  14. The funny thing is December 1970 is not memorable despite having a lot of snow and cold after about the 10th. I remember watching Scwoegler’s map and it looked like the progs were seeing but we were mostly on the good side of the gradient. Impulse after impulse...some bringing 6-10 which was about the ceiling.
  15. It seems to want to do that so it wouldn’t surprise me if that happened.
  16. Yeah the low heights are flushed out of AK but then the ridging doesn’t seem to build. Hopefully that changes.
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