weathafella

Temperature rocketing now. 53

I’m definitely an outlier. I am a night owl who had a day job I had to get up early for during my entire 50 year career. I’d sleep in weekends and struggle through the week. When I retired, I vowed to get 7-8 hours sleep per night. Not having to get up early is a godsend. When the kids were small, we got up with them like all parents but now that the nest is empty there’s no need. My friends all want me to go to breakfast with them but I defer to a late lunch or dinner. Some of these old farts go to bed before Kevin. Occasionally I have meetings for my side gigs but I avoid scheduling anything before 11-12 and since work is all remote it’s low stress. Still dark but warming now-up to 50.

42 and rain. So dark I slept until past Noon (in fairness I went to bed near 4AM). One mild week and then we have some fun I think. The pattern change begins 12/18 and is complete 1/1.

A great story of a weenie! https://www.newyorker.com/news/persons-of-interest/the-man-who-predicted-climate-change?utm_source=nl&utm_brand=tny&utm_mailing=TNY_Daily_Control_121021&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_medium=email&utm_term=tny_daily_recirc&bxid=5e44b73d7e553f191312707b&cndid=60057708&hasha=197334e55870d9d5e0255989c02f7900&hashb=9912c9e7fd561d481c433900e86635cd8e7098a0&hashc=5e15b6390ba4bf56284fefb23752420518b0ee702a1d01eb81af23ae73756fb8&esrc=sailthru-optout&mbid=CRMNYR012019

What town did you move from/to?

I'll take a few weeks. My body would want a warmup by then.

Who’s Eric Webb?

Verbatim it’s a look that would work out for me. Eps trended towards this middle ground last night so let’s make sure the models hold it.

People posting progs for d14 and declaring them right isn’t helping. We’ll have some above normal temperatures for sure. A bigger concern to me is the dryness. A pattern change would fix that but we have to get there. 1993 had a long torch in December starting around the 2nd week with a snow event imbedded around mid month. That flipped right around Christmas as an apps runner deluged us on the 23rd. Post Christmas got cold and snowy and that pattern held for the duration.

There were some days in the 70s when you did about 5 runs and packed it in-too cold and you understood whey the mountain was empty!

Yeah they were similar but 93-94 had more snow and it was colder more consistently. 93-94 was torchy in December until Christmas when the hammer dropped for 2 months.

0.7 for yesterday which is my first measurable.

On eps, a small adjustment eastward on EPO would work.

Yeah I was running to my laptop to more easily bold that. Classic Will telling warmistas to go fuk themselves...lol.

It’s going around. 0.7 here. Got down to 21 for a low.

Another little burst. Been out walking in it the past hour.

Snow otg and in the air-what else matters?

Yeah Larry is on a hot streak. He’s picking up something that many are missing over the past few seasons. Not sure how but kudos to him!

I’m actually looking forward to the warmth. No ice to slip on and comfy temperatures to walk in day and night. Gotta watch for ticks in the woods though.

Has that happened yet this season (flooding conus) despite low heights). Also, is there any guidance showing that? week 3-6 of Monday’s weeklies: if anything the January implication is split flow fun.

NAM jacks maine and western MA, go figure

NAM is a lot slower which is probably good

Gfs is certainly an advisory event for eastern areas.

People have to remember that this was 50 miles from a good event for many. We’re trending that way and it certainly seems better vs 36 hours ago.

The low is further se at 12z. Concentrated qpf in se zones but I’d take 18z given the low path.