weathafella
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Everything posted by weathafella
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Winter 2022-2023 Promises Plenty of Mid Season Mayhem
weathafella replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Ray, your work ethic is amazing with this! Details and always learning opportunities. Thanks for taking the time and putting this out. Good luck on verification! -
Yeah that was a nice one. I got 6.3 that night.
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Legit snow now
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Mix here. First flakes
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Hey kid-58 for me.
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JD, I understand that part but the pv that we refer to as having an immediate effect on sensible wx is at h5 I believe. So George ‘s impression that we want the strat vortex to split greatly influencing our sensible wx may not be correct. However, we’d rather a split than not. As Will posted, it helps but it’s not the main influencer.
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25 here for a low. 2 hour walk last night late-sub freezing from start to finish but after 45 minutes you warm up from the exercise. Clouding up now-rainy and cold tomorrow. Aka November.
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1…..but I’m going with none.
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Doesn’t mean much but I’m seeing the first muthufukkas of the 2022-23 winter.
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Wait-you’re shadowed my mtns on both sides? That doesn’t sound ideal for snow amounts. Kevin laid it out but good luck anyway!
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40 here at peak heating with full sun all day. Winter like.
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You confuse the strat vortex with the common term polar vortex which to my knowledge is typically seen at 500mb. Maybe I’m wrong but that’s my understanding.
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Definitely an icy look in the deep interior of SNE.
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I just looked where Simsbury is-and your sig has you at 100 feet. So in summary you may get some snow-certainly more than us in the east but expectations beyond an inch seem like a stretch. We miss you here Jay-put your foot down and head up north to live next time!
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MPM pining for original pit in GC...
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I waited until this torch but finally pulled down the storms on the older windows in the past half hour.
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Remember Thanksgiving is early Thanksgiving is early this year. A solid 2 weeks before sne can expect reasonable snow.
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EPS gets the job done 11-15 with the dateline ridge and NAO working in tandem. I think they are considerably more robust vs GEFS.
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Sweaty night. Ridiculous. Hopefully this is the end of this garbage.
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I think the Pope's problem is he thinks southern coastal NH climo is above normal if highs are 40-45 in mid November. Half this bb has that problem.
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Timing is everything. But to a young weenie confirmation bias can last a long time.
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When I was growing up in NNJ in the 1950s, I expected a snowstorm in early December-it occurred pretty much every year (culminating in the 1960 blizzard) for awhile which colored my thinking.
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You’re having a spectacular start!
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Decent November snows usually are harbingers of snowy winters.
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Ensemble consensus on help from nao region as AK ridging retros to Bering Strait. Could be a nice pattern for December this year. Yore.
