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WEATHER53

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  1. WEATHER53
    The facts get to you don’t they There are a few other negative Nellie’s considered charming . Model fact addresses not charming it appears it’s part of a weather discussion to discuss recent and ongoing blown model samples. It’s not all hopes and wishes We get to 3 days remaining and a low IS coming near Atlanta and heading northeast then we got something to latch onto. Models even blew it last year within 24 hours after we had the one good Jan event. I remember this and thus don’t rely on a myriad of examples showing low out to sea, over Norfolk, over DC or cutting into the lakes.
  2. WEATHER53
    Cover all bases and claim confirmation after the result
  3. WEATHER53
    And that is the absurd changes were often experience. It would be insane to not be skeptical . Hopeful is warranted but more to it than wants snd wishes
  4. WEATHER53
    Might have to find a place for post event oyster slurping .
  5. WEATHER53
    They don’t sneak up on us. You are completely correct. But they overforecast many events that never come to fruition. That’s what brings criticism
  6. WEATHER53
    Mongolian reload and that region has been consistently producing for a month. Now the examples need to get to within 5 days to see if a low is coming up from the south A style. The transfer/phase jobs rarely work here
  7. WEATHER53
    I think that’s the one from 94 where 22F at onset and not one flake but lots of sleet and freezing rain
  8. WEATHER53
    The too cold is two tiered if the high is pretty close to southern extreme of Hudson Bay then we are good. The further south it centers itself, then suppression becomes an issue.
  9. WEATHER53
    Can you post that map
  10. WEATHER53
    If he had tried 2.5 year old talk, you would have gotten it
  11. WEATHER53
    That box hadn’t been checked yet. I feel powerful forces in the works
  12. WEATHER53
    Mongolia reloading and send us some moisture please merry happy hollerdaze
  13. WEATHER53
    However It’s starting to become another replay. Things look great in the 10+ day and as time approaches the delay begins and the denial follows . Until and unless there is a serious push like the NHC has perfected, we will continue to get this mish mash of cover every base examples that really don’t Predict anything
  14. WEATHER53
    It’s an Atlanta traversed low. If that holds it looking like an A and not all the jumping around that non productive Bs go thru
  15. WEATHER53
    Yes Enso does not work at all like it used to. Most of the rest like SSW and MJO still under study. What does still prevail is the NAO and AO and the historical cold supplying region being in play . Models can’t tell if a low is off Norfolk or over Pittsburgh beyond 4 days so that hampers tremendously. At the very least we are having less cold absence so far
  16. WEATHER53
    Increasing clouds at sunset which often messes up temp drops but with low dews and days of cold we will still radiate . Stated talking about this one days ago when nothing on the horizon. Good cloud flows from gulf now so expect to see the ante upped as time goes on
  17. WEATHER53
    Increasing clouds right at sunset which often is real bad for radiational but with these low dews we will still drop but not as much High of 34.2 Currently 33/16
  18. WEATHER53
    I’m going to estimate that when the precip gets here DCA will be 28/ 19 and BWI Andrew’s IAD are 25/18 Hapoy Ho Ho Mr Ma*t
  19. WEATHER53
    Not much yet and I believe that will be under estimated . We are already way further into possible wintry than was thought 48 hours ago
  20. WEATHER53
    it’s an upper air warm front running into a departing arctic high positioned not to our east-ese but rather ne-nne
  21. WEATHER53
    Low of 17 Kemp Mill coldest of year Low of 11 Frederick
  22. WEATHER53
    WWA is up Departing. Mongolia air masses are different. This high is not moving off mid Atlantic, more like off Boston . This isn’t a 1994 set up which gave us freezing with no snow at 22F. Look for a surprise when the precip starts
  23. WEATHER53
    Something seems up.
  24. WEATHER53
    32.5 for a high 31. 5pm 28.5 7pm 27 at 8:30
  25. WEATHER53
    Low of 19. Currently 27
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