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WEATHER53

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Everything posted by WEATHER53

  1. And that is the absurd changes were often experience. It would be insane to not be skeptical . Hopeful is warranted but more to it than wants snd wishes
  2. Might have to find a place for post event oyster slurping .
  3. They don’t sneak up on us. You are completely correct. But they overforecast many events that never come to fruition. That’s what brings criticism
  4. Mongolian reload and that region has been consistently producing for a month. Now the examples need to get to within 5 days to see if a low is coming up from the south A style. The transfer/phase jobs rarely work here
  5. I think that’s the one from 94 where 22F at onset and not one flake but lots of sleet and freezing rain
  6. The too cold is two tiered if the high is pretty close to southern extreme of Hudson Bay then we are good. The further south it centers itself, then suppression becomes an issue.
  7. If he had tried 2.5 year old talk, you would have gotten it
  8. That box hadn’t been checked yet. I feel powerful forces in the works
  9. Mongolia reloading and send us some moisture please merry happy hollerdaze
  10. However It’s starting to become another replay. Things look great in the 10+ day and as time approaches the delay begins and the denial follows . Until and unless there is a serious push like the NHC has perfected, we will continue to get this mish mash of cover every base examples that really don’t Predict anything
  11. It’s an Atlanta traversed low. If that holds it looking like an A and not all the jumping around that non productive Bs go thru
  12. Yes Enso does not work at all like it used to. Most of the rest like SSW and MJO still under study. What does still prevail is the NAO and AO and the historical cold supplying region being in play . Models can’t tell if a low is off Norfolk or over Pittsburgh beyond 4 days so that hampers tremendously. At the very least we are having less cold absence so far
  13. Increasing clouds at sunset which often messes up temp drops but with low dews and days of cold we will still radiate . Stated talking about this one days ago when nothing on the horizon. Good cloud flows from gulf now so expect to see the ante upped as time goes on
  14. Increasing clouds right at sunset which often is real bad for radiational but with these low dews we will still drop but not as much High of 34.2 Currently 33/16
  15. I’m going to estimate that when the precip gets here DCA will be 28/ 19 and BWI Andrew’s IAD are 25/18 Hapoy Ho Ho Mr Ma*t
  16. Not much yet and I believe that will be under estimated . We are already way further into possible wintry than was thought 48 hours ago
  17. it’s an upper air warm front running into a departing arctic high positioned not to our east-ese but rather ne-nne
  18. Low of 17 Kemp Mill coldest of year Low of 11 Frederick
  19. WWA is up Departing. Mongolia air masses are different. This high is not moving off mid Atlantic, more like off Boston . This isn’t a 1994 set up which gave us freezing with no snow at 22F. Look for a surprise when the precip starts
  20. 32.5 for a high 31. 5pm 28.5 7pm 27 at 8:30
  21. Low of 19. Currently 27
  22. 27.5 at midnight. I got text from friend who surprised me with bullishness for Tuesday . Anything showing?
  23. 31.8 and down 3.5 in last 45 mins
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