WEATHER53

Well Early this afternoon I called for 43/25 at 9pm and it was 43/28 and now 45/24 so my temperature concerns at the surface are not alleviated. Still looks like 34/35 when steady snow is falling. Can make out with heavy rates thru about 9am then too much radiance

Lots of “mays” plus low confidence nonsense in that statement the ow confidence malarkey needs to go. I do like CWG boom and bust but not the tapping about low confidence Confident to me means you think it is 80-100% gonna happen. I really don’t even know what low confidence is supposed to mean, it’s like sweet sour . You think it is low probability? Thats not confidence in any form . Get back to me when you are willing to state a forecast without weasel disclaimers and qualifiers.

I’m going to predict that at 9pm DCA is 43/25 so that evaps down to 34/35 come crunch time. Now I may be missing that colder drier air will be pushing in before onset? Am I? Otherwise, this current air mass won’t do it.

Models jumping 125 miles with moderate-heavy snow is sad it’s going to be too warm at the surface and not the right wind direction nor dewpoints to correct that. Even predawn DC area will struggle at 33-35 with steady precip falling which would frequently get us cold enough but can’t this time

Analog wise I see mixing and rain issues even around DC so going to veer off and forecast DCA will not reach nor exceed 4” with same accumulation maxes likely even 15 miles north and west.

Highs going to be too strong to allow low into mouth of bay. Over or 35 miles east of VA Beach most likely track

2.5-3 in fully shaded areas and no ground bare.

85 was epic cold. That and 1994 are my record low of -6. Inauguration Day was 11F at the time for it, I think DCA was 14 for a high, I was 9F 1994 just incredibly cold in afternoon with falling afternoon temperatures and 1 at 6pm. Ice storms ar 22F and repeated bitter cold shots 1982 epic back to back Cold Sundays. 1977 for that 35 day period, I think we hit 43 one day and then constant teens and 20’s for highs. Some other great ones in 78 and 79 and this century also but those stand out to me.

20-25 degree temp swing so those bases covered.

Too far south good problem to have .

I too like WV and am in process of inheriting a cabin sw of Romney . it is a blast to get up and clean whatever snow you want and scruffy around and bathe late, or maybe not even. Fry up some bacon with scrambled eggs, hominey and roast beef hash. Then see if the sour D is sour. There is usually a nice local bar in town with good burgers and bunch of happy mountain folk also playing in the snow!

Have you acquired a Grizzly Adams’s demeanor yet?

Start watching that band in the wee hours but fell asleep at 3:30am. Must have movedin heavy as picked up another 1.5-2 bringing my current snowpack to 4.5-5” if I add back in the melt down compaction from the mixed precip then I got 6-6.5” snow total. So I was down to 2” upon awakening yesterday, got another inch by 11pm and then another 1.5 to 2 in 12-5am time frame Currently 34F

0.5 in last 70 minutes. Moderate rate with some nickle sized flakes, Braches gently crackling and snowfall swirling

Getting a nice continuation here 2 miles north of beltway . 0.3” since onset st 12:20 31.6F

In it 0.5”ph Rate. More later

Thanks for these

Drop down here oh greenies its close. 31.8F

Is last 25 years unusually Miller B dominated?

So going nuts up there!! Hooray and send pics. We never should have gotten so segregated. Mi** Forky and Ray up in northeast and Raleigh all had Great stuff to contribute to a Bos or NYC or DC event.’Welcome in my threads anytime you are. we did Ok with 3-4 in WAA and 1 in coastal so we didn’t wake up to partly cloudy which is how Miller Bs frequently turn out for us.

Sorry guys I will take out Chief

Cleared section of snowboard is recovered . 3.5 yesterday the compacted via no. Snow to 2 and now back up to 3.25 with snow resuming Models and forecasts weren’t busts but not hits either so parts wrong parts right

5pm obs Greenies snd best rates of day made it here, 0.5”ph for sure and maybe 0.75” streets recovered and cars I cleaned off 15 minutes ago are recovered. 31.2F

Greens just can’t sink down to me. Can’t tell if this is happening but Bs usually show their southern extent quickly and don’t generally sink south and do generally move north. Temp down to 31.9 after peaking at 32.4 with light snow currently

3pm ovs Steadiest snow since yesterday started about 5 minutes ago, the north edge of better stuff still remains about 3 miles north of me and I hope that settles south and does not stay north?