WEATHER53

I never foresaw an ice profile. Cold air source moving in on a line from ne to sw is not a freezing rain set up. Freezing rain is usually an in place or departing cold mass where the low runs into the mountains. It’s not usually front related

NWS not saying much about ice i was forecasted for low to mid 50’s and high of 48 Rain thru Friday late morning and becoming windy from nw at 15 to 25mph with falling temperatures to 32-35 by 4-6pm and rain mixing with or changing to sleet and snow before ending around 8pm.

The depth in Salisbury was not a 20”-30”monster but more like 18” max but very dry, very windy, very cold, very drifty

It was 40 at 10 which is warmest for time since 1/2..Tomorrow just 2nd time since 1/2 not below freezing and the consecutive streak ends also. This 30 day run 1/3-2/2 is impressive but short of historic. Perhaps close to Top 20 since 1970 but unsure. Close to -4.5 during this run. We dont get a lot of that.

In this depiction the 30.25 high is aligned ne to sw and it will push that low further east than the currently shown location

Gonna predict DCA continues the streak by hitting 32 at the 8:52pm obs with an overnight low of 28. I still have 1” of fluffy snow in full shaded ground areas. The cold overnights seem to prevent any melting even with a fully shaded High of 40. it not icy nor refrozen. It’s fluffy snow

In Salisbury it was constant sustained 30mph with persistent gusts to 50 for about 18 hours.

So models have no formula to where low will go. Have to wait until 12 hours before critical time to see if baro is exerting enough to push it s&e.

DCA sub freezing streak likely ending at 17 continues for now

From 33 at 5 to 27 at 7.

My 2nd nearest drifter was 1996

Temps generally not the issue in this pattern

Other than the first two days, January has been very cold, close to minus 5 if take those two out. Nearly -3 as it is DCA will fall below 32 for 14 consecutive days. That’s impressive. I have not hit 32 Five times. One unsurpassed record from incredible 1977 is 35 consecutive nights DCA went below 32. Memory not perfect but basically during that run I think there was one day where high was like 45 and then back to perpetual 27 high 17 low. chesapeake bay frozen so solid that cars were on it.

Only this 1966 matches Snowmaggedon, I was 10 in Salisbury MD Sideways snow falling , blowing snow, we had packed it down for sledding but just got overwhelmed by drifting. 6’ drifts not uncommon, 3-4’ everywhere.

Ok well Jan 15 mentioned twice and let’s keep this rolling!

In mid-late Dec things here were bleak but turned around Jan to cold and 4/5 decent events .

Looks like 2”+ph

So do a mid Atlantic guy a favor and rank it with your all time greats!

31 for a high so 5th time not hit 32 here I can’t find winter outlook thread . I went +2 , -3 to -5, and 0 to -1 But I did not order the months. Dec exceeded my + value and Jan coming in solid negative . Went 12.5 “ at DCA and almost exactly that right now it didn’t look very good in long range for us to have a good winter and Dec scary warm but big time turn around approaching a 10 degree flip month to month.

We saw 5,6 even 7 feet of snow and it Wasn’t drifts Testify!

I’ve often suggested that there is something in all the brightness and whiteness and swirling that triggers us .

Hi when it was 1am and a dozen of us were outside in raging lake effect 12F with 3’ everywhere; I knew I was no longer alone. Watertown Cracker Barrell likely lowest snow visibility I’ve been in.

2pm obs 31.5F Overnight low of 12, coldest for season . 85% snow cover

12 midnight 18F NW Wind 20 Wind chill 7 snow cover 90%

Just wow on the chaser reports! Looks like Pulaski 2007 at Tug Hill 2pm obs 24F NW wind 22 wind chill 9 some blowing snow. I got one nice band and ended up with 1.5-2”