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Tenman Johnson

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About Tenman Johnson

  • Birthday August 9

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Kemp Mill, MD

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  1. Morch Madness Negative NAO Long Range discussion

    Always 7-10 days away and misleading by models that don't predict the weather but rather display a wide array of it it's the season of the Nina, the pattern is almost a 1989-90 one, bitter cold then extreme warmth, winter is over. The pattern change chase has been in effect since mid Jan . It's changed alright-got worse. Matt, Ian, me, Huff, Midlo, Mike used to do all of this-follow the models every 6 hours and wear ourselves out with never ending hope, reinforced by models, that a beneficial change is forthcoming. You can barely find any of those guys anymore. theres more to Weather, locally nationally and globally than mathematical equations. There is the signs that have been given moving into the winter(analogs), the enso and the Nao and there are indexes that are en vogue but are dubious as to predictive qualities(stratosphere) there is no push for a change as status quo is very well funded because when you show almost all the possible outcomes you can always point to one that did pan out and keep the money flowing thank you
  2. Morch Madness Negative NAO Long Range discussion

    Resemblance of '58 odd movement
  3. Morch Madness Negative NAO Long Range discussion

    We may be facing the outcome of the infamous "VodkaCold" winter where a better pattern was always 7-10 days and we chased that for 10 weeks
  4. February Mid/Long Range Discussion 2

    Was 9 years old and had just moved to Salisbury from OC and it wrecked OC and we could not get to the old house for a month
  5. February Banter Thread

    Your response was fine we can start a trees and flowers thread for those who want to use it your discussion the other day about how 50 in Feb is different than 50 in April was detailed and excellent. It's also worth mentioning that around D.C. It can snow overnight well into April
  6. February Banter Thread

    Generalizations generally work because the general conduct described generally fits the party that is being described you can try and hang your hat on "it's a medium to long range thread and not a winter one" but the medium to long range IS wintertime so when chirping about shorts, flowers, trees and how nice 70 is I think you can generally anticipate negative responses
  7. February Mid/Long Range Discussion 2

    So we take another 70's break and then hope this block thing shows. I want it to. I got lucky with perhaps my best driving the car in snow experience-Hit 195 at Baltimore Beltway headed south and its moderate snow and wet road and 35 so I'm thinking nice steady snow but easy roads . Snow gets heavy in minutes with visibility down to 0.2 and temp down to 32.roads get slushy fast and in few more minutes 1-2" accumulation off the roads. Huge flakes just overwhelming the windshield. South of 32 it started mixing but road was a mess and traffic slow Precip mixed rest of way home, 2" compacted and was probably closer to 3 before sleet and rain
  8. February Mid/Long Range Discussion 2

    Cosgrove does not believe in the big cold coming and seriously it's been since 1/8 that the return of cold is "7 to 10 days away"
  9. February Mid/Long Range Discussion 2

    If you relish and are seeking warm weather then don't post in a winter weather discussion thread. There is Banter for that
  10. PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    DCA is going to remain deliberately and stubbornly pitiful on snow measurements
  11. PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    Jeb are you saying you got toasted at CT and sleep thru a 30-90 minute pounding?
  12. February Banter Thread

    I like snow when it's falling and afterward. I think the extra light from all the whiteness sets off endorphins in some of us Weather nuts. Just puttering around moving some off the patio.
  13. PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    Finally home. Snowboard says 2 and with the sleet and rain it may have been 3" at peak
  14. PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    Came down 95 from Baltimore Heavy snow, then mix, then mostly rain, now sleet and snow 1.5" and 31F
  15. PD3.5 Lite Obs and Nowcasting

    Clouds closed in fast 41/25. Going to need 50% evap and fun to watch if we get it