WEATHER53

CAB in effect as now 2.5 days out. i no longer rely on models for anything nearly specific and just the very general low to our south which may be string or weak and may curl up the coast or go out to sea. All possibilities will be shown so models score well come verification of outcome This last event was a departing high off Maine and that showed early and that’s what happened . Never good for us.

The low as depicted is somewhat se and we need it more like around Norfolk rather than central outer banks.

That high is near perfection

This is the event the analogs had me chirping about since Thanksgiving. After yet Another wobbly model output right up to the last minute(remember the dryness insertion) I’ll just follow analogs. Another good historical opportunity 12/20-12/21 anytime anything goes under us we don’t have the temp issue and it’s only a matter of qpf so this one has and does look real good

Frederick house had a mix for several hours at 30/31 but no accumulating snow and Kemp Mill rain and 34/35

They talk back

I’m higher than most at 34.5 but still low dewpoint at 22. Frederick has radiated crazy to 25/23.

I’m older than I look

Right now faster is better and that’s kinda a theme for DC as I’ve watched for the years, decades, century, millennium…..

Yes So many we anre already dead with warnings remaining in effect after a 48 degree day that got cloudy at 2pm and it’s 41 at 9pm with warnings still in effect and the dew is 30. Agonizing to know we are already dead but public still really wound up

Clouds really slow coming in and we don’t want that to backfire and have precip come in really late like after 9am

41.5 for the high 39 at 5pm 35 at 8pm

When clouds come in 1-2 hours after dark, the radiation is not complete and we rise a couple of degrees. If it’s still fully clear like 7:30 then generally we stay steady when full clouds take over

43.5 for the high 42 at 4pm 39.5 at 5pm

They issued that before this last minute model do over