Good work
January and Feb 61 and 62 were cold. Probably gotta add +3/4 to equate to now but still below average. Muddled models be damned, observations and analogs Continue to show real cold for Jan and definitely not mild for Feb
Both years still showing up and idea I shared earlier in this thread if a 30-45 day pronounced cold run is still in play and underway. By the end of Dec (29-31) we will be at 30 days and will see if it extends further
Don’t worry about model confusions, Christmas 20-27 will not be a torch
This is the one I have been referencing analog wise although I did initially say two weeks ago that it’s 12/20 time frame but this is the next good shot
From 1958 thru 1971, the core of most of my childhood, the ponds froze most every winter, we skated and sledded plenty. I can remember only two winters that did not deliver like that.