wawarriors4

LWX AFD Update at 9:00 PM .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... 9:00 PM UPDATE: No change to the previous forecast at this time, but some increase in expected snow totals may be necessary in the next shift. Model guidance continue to increase in confidence of 4-7" for most areas along and west of I-95, with the higher end of that starting to look a little more likely. Would like to see another round of guidance before bumping things up just yet. For now, see the previous update and discusison for more detailed thoughts.

Oh good 240 is back and I need a 40

Appreciate the EZF love Yoda.....know what usually happens down here. A warning level storm will be great, any CCB love would just be a bonus!

I take it your in Lynchburg this evening. Hoping to score a coating up around Fredericksburg and then take our chances with whatever happens on Sunday/Monday

9 posts and I’m sure 8 of them at least are cringe worthy eta: goes back to what @leesburg 04 said....when you see the last lost is from certain posters best to not even open the thread

It’s really excruciatingly frustrating, and I don’t get it. Every time I see a panda picture I shiver......

Fredericksburg falls in the “screw zone” on the 18z GFS and still gets ~6” so yeah it’s nice and it’s moving a certain way....I’ll take that!

No doubt, even down here in EZF. Sleet is part of the game to get big snow

Sleet making it into EZF is no big thing, that usually happens when we have a big one and is the cost of doing business around here. EURO looks good!

Heavy Sleet with a bit of rain, 32.7, deck, walkway, yard and cars covered with sleet

Heavy Rain in NW Stafford and 33, occasional mangled flake too

Sleet just starting to mix in with rain NW of Fredericksburg, currently 33.9

I’m not too far away from southern Fauquier, in NW Stafford. Still just rain here, down to 34.3

Light Snow here just NW of Fredericksburg

Light Snow in Stafford County near FXBG

At this point, I think everyone would love a 3-6" event, would be great. But I think we are so scarred up from the past few year that we all kind of knew where this was heading, but still 4 days away. Strange things happen sometimes.

I did see that, but it looks better than the regular GFS and I guess a South trend doesn't hurt as much when you live around Fredericksburg. I'm still just hopeful to see maybe 2" or so.

Para GFS looks pretty decent.

UKMET snow totals eta: it’s loltastic up here around Fredericksburg

Lol, UKMET snowfall totals South

Feels the same way around Fredericksburg (but probably a little but here than in RIC) not sure what exactly to hire/root for. I understand the temp issues we face, just feels like as you’ve said, it’s going to have to align just right. Frustrating and fascinating at the same time.

Looking at the black and white CMC doodles, it appears it will be South of the 12z run

DCA Snow at 126, not so much down this way around EZF ETA: by 132 it's rain/mix in DC

Euro looks quite North to me

Rain/Snow mix here just NW of Fredericksburg and it’s 38 degrees