87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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Frederick’s storm shield did a fantastic job again today. Maybe the incoming heat wave will melt it and a new pattern will emerge.
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Some storms developing to the west. I’m prob too far north, but Moco has a chance.
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I don’t recall such a persistent lack of southerly component to the overall pattern. Seems like almost every system is acting like a clipper with the same general impacts as what we’d receive in the winter…hit/miss and showery east of the mountains instead of a clean region-wide hit. I know I’m generalizing as summer isn’t the time of year that we get a storm from the TN Valley and some areas have done well with precip lately, but even on radar the storms have typically been w/nw to e/se in their path.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
87storms replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The atmosphere is ripe today. Sunny, stagnant and humid is my favorite recipe for storms. The rest is a “we shall see”. -
If it’s gonna storm, this is the type of airmass we need. Sun is mostly out now in Frederick with a healthy dewpoint.
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This summer has been total weak sauce as far as heat is concerned. I’m actually looking forward to the heat wave for the sake of interesting weather and increased CAPE. Also curious to see how it compares to the 110+ I experienced in Nevada. My guess is it will be more uncomfortable in the shade, but more comfortable in the sun (that 110 hits quick in that desert sun especially hiking in it when you have pretty much no escape).
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
87storms replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The sun is slowly starting to break through the mountain clouds here. Hopefully, that’s a trend and sets the table for at least some isolated storms west of 95 later. -
Looks like tomorrow will offer more potential for widespread storms, especially if we can get into some breaks of sun early on.
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Then I think this area needs a new dealer lol.
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It wouldn't surprise me. I'd like to see a good snowstorm or two, but the trend (for mostly obvious reasons) has been for us to pretty much need a perfect setup. Hopefully, the mountains can at least score a respectable winter.
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The rain shadow of Frederick continues to be a powerful force. This pattern, for whatever reason, doesn't seem to be working too well for those on the lee side of the Blue Ridge (my guess is it's due to a lack of direct hits from these shortwaves rotating through). On the bright side, I'm loving this weather. I'm not interested in a NW flow in July...I want that mid-Atlantic swamp filth. The only place I want desert-like weather is in the desert.
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That was a primo goal.
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Woke up to the initial cell that produced a downpour followed by on/off thunder for a couple hours. Productive event. Wish it was s daytime thing, but still needed.
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Yea, this is the polar opposite of summer 2021 when I first moved to Frederick and had to bail on a couple hikes at Gambrill because I kept getting stormed on. Region-wide…it’s definitely a polar opposite of 2018 when Great Falls was bustling.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
87storms replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The mountains love this type of system. If I can see lightning in the distance with remnant light showers, I’ll call it a win. -
Whenever I see a GL low, I temper my expectations. The only thing that’s been an improvement lately (if you like an increased chance of storms and dislike wildfire smoke) is that it’s been more humid. Today has actually felt like a classic summer day.
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Looks like it mostly skips over the recently constructed rain shield around downtown Frederick and reorganizes in time for points east.
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I’m expecting a broken line of light showers that lasts 15 minutes to cross the Blue Ridge during the overnight period. I’ll take an actual thunderstorm, though.
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I’m wondering when we’ll actually get a region-wide system that slides right underneath our latitude instead of relying on perfectly timed vorts pinwheeling around what seems like an endless stream of upper Midwest to New England sliders.
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I must have brought a piece of the desert back with me from my trip...essentially nothing from the last week which shows up very well on recent rainfall maps. 'tis what 'tis.
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Another strikeout. Looks like some chances the next couple days, so…we’ll see.
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This prolonged boring stretch of weather can only last so long.
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Just noticed some activity out there. Frederick is in line assuming they don't fizzle out crossing the Blue Ridge (losing daytime heating probably won't help).
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Radar looks busy in PA as they continue to win the precip battle with what seems like the exact same upper level pattern as the winter lol.
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I haven’t really noticed the smell of smoke today nor does it seem as bad as several weeks ago, though it’s still a continuation of a subpar weather pattern that’s existed since at least last Fall. Hoping that El Niño can shake things up at some point, possibly kicked off by tropical remnants.
