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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. It's been an hour since the last post in this region. Can we fire up the severe weather thread? I'm getting hyped about that.
  2. I'm looking forward to the spring in part because we did pretty well with bringing up the water table this winter. Could be a nice looking spring as a result.
  3. I've got one more storm left in me, but otherwise...yea, I'm ready for Spring.
  4. March 17, 2014 was legit...we had about 6-8" in Bethesda. March 2018 was about half that, but still a decent event...and was also a reminder that you really need rates during the day to keep up with the sun angle. Once the rates lightened up, it was a wrap.
  5. I haven’t lol. But there’s still a month for a system to show up in the mid-range.
  6. It’s always interesting to see “winter’s over” comments the same day that it snows.
  7. I’ve had a couple strolls this winter through and around Baker. Good stuff. I’m craving a hike through Gambrill (did it post-storm in winter ‘22). The problem is I have no interest driving up Hamburg Rd when it’s slick out.
  8. I've just been too busy the last couple weeks to track this system closely, but models definitely showed upwards of 0.4-0.5" of precip even down to DC. However, I wonder if some of the north trend had to do with temps/boundary setting up further north as opposed to "well, the storm just went further north". I mean, it did, but I get the vibe that it was at least partly due to it "just not being cold enough" here. Chicken vs egg situation, I guess.
  9. That was our seasonal bust, but it does look kinda cool out. May have weaseled into an official 2” here.
  10. This type of system has caused forecast problems since forever lol. Models have improved, but they still struggle at times with the mountains. No complaints, though…it snowed.
  11. I think I remember that one. It snowed for like 15 minutes and then stopped lol.
  12. And just like that, there’s a coating on cars here. Snowing steadily.
  13. I don’t hate how the radar looks for Frederick right now.
  14. Looks like either flurries or sprinkles here, per my window. Can’t see any snow yet.
  15. I’m pretty sure the HRRR incorporates radar trends into its forecast. It’ll prob tick up again once the radar fills in east of the mountains. It does this sometimes.
  16. It’s gonna snow and there’s nothing we can do about it.
  17. The Catoctin's continue to a powerhouse snow magnet. I like where I'm at for this, but it's definitely more chilly than cold leading in. 2-4" areawide still looks like a solid bet which is enough to make it look like winter.
  18. Started a new job last week and have a data analytics class that’s taking up my time, so this system would be a nice bookend to a busy last few weeks in my world. Side note…I’m hoping Richmond gets on the board to help my snowfall forecast.
  19. Another key ingredient is that the drought is all, but over. Creeks in and around Gambrill/Watershed are moving well.
  20. All bs, pessimism, reverse psychology, and whatever other mind tricks we play...the reality is that this winter is at least better than the last one...and there's still time to stat pad.
  21. I’m beginning to master the art of faux reverse psychology.
  22. It’s pretty much sticking to everything here. It’s simply snowing too hard for it not to lol. Doesn’t look like it’ll last too long, though.
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