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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. 87storms
    Yea, completely different jet streak, too. We're still in the trackable phase...variables still tbd.
  2. 87storms
    Gfs is a little further north track so far than the icon…the latter being a little bowling ball moving through Dallas. No idea what it will mean going forward…but I like the path better so far.
  3. 87storms
    Icon looks nice, though kind of a weird h5 evolution and enters the west coast at a lower lat than the gfs. And it’s completely different than 18z lol. Nice to have on our side, but safe to say we should care more about the gfs run.
  4. 87storms
    My friend in north Bethesda said there was legit T&L there. None of that imby in Frederick, but def a good soaker.
  5. 87storms
    Very healthy looking vort with an open gulf. This one is officially worth tracking.
  6. 87storms
    I think it’s safe to say that run is a tosser.
  7. 87storms
    Quality batch of rain moving through rn. Radar looks better than I expected it to be.
  8. 87storms
    I think most places can work out as long as you can continue your hobbies. Frederick’s walkable downtown, trails, and bball courts (which was my first concern moving here lol) is keeping me occupied for now. It’s getting pricey, though…or rather “is” pricey.
  9. 87storms
    Yea there's some nice geo locations along 70 (which I have to take en route to Columbia several days a week). I'm eyeing '26 to buy as well...took a detour last year while I was in between jobs, so now I have to work my way back to being able to afford it lol. Maybe for the better as I wasn't really sure where to even buy at the time.
  10. 87storms
    Did you move from Frederick? Thought you were living near Worman's (where I just braved the Wegman's crowd). I feel like this area is primed for an event. Hoping another January '22 is in the cards.
  11. 87storms
    With that North Atl system, a cutter might be off the table. Like others have said, that might be the storm to monitor to see how much confluence it throws at us.
  12. 87storms
    Looks like Newfoundland might be the spot to be next weekend. All the models have a stemwinder moving up the coast there.
  13. 87storms
    The argument could be made that this is the perfect spot to be in. You do not want to be in the bullseye at this range...it almost never works out. Late trends north are still a thing as is over-fitting of cold air/suppression (or so it seems).
  14. 87storms
    All I know is that the 0z runs will be telling.
  15. 87storms
    Yes, and so can a nw, downsloping breeze.
  16. 87storms
    Doesn’t even look like there was more than 2” of digital snow that entire run. Onto 0z…
  17. 87storms
    Yea, that system is entering the window of being a legit threat. Looks like gom will be at least partially open for business as well.
  18. 87storms
    Looks like a pretty cold sounding by Sunday evening on the gfs/euro. Overrunning is our typical way to get a snowfall as opposed to some wound up, fantasyland, perfect track coastal. Gonna take a couple more days to figure that one out.
  19. 87storms
    I’ve been at this hobby for too long to look too far beyond 10 days, though I have become a fan of teleconnections. There’s no denying the importance of pattern trends like pna, nao, etc. Imo those are more important than tracking individual shortwaves this far out, which is arguably irrational and I imagine the paid mets who participate here probably laugh at.
  20. 87storms
    We’re paper champs lol. But seriously…pattern is looking better, though we’re fully capable of cold/dry. Really need that southern stream to get involved, which it mostly looks like it is. Tbd
  21. 87storms
    Jeeps are just too expensive these days.
  22. 87storms
    Not the greatest SLP track...but it's cold leading in. Would be really cool to get a track underneath for a change, though we did score with some systems in 2015 this way. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pwat&runtime=2024122912&fh=192
  23. 87storms
    It's entering the west at a pretty high latitude, which is a thing sometimes, though looks like a snow to mix setup is possible with that first system.
  24. 87storms
    Only 10 days away, guys...we got this.
  25. 87storms
    The only problem with the hh gfs is that the hecs is happening in the middle of the week, which has proven to be nearly impossible.
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