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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. It's the dumbest title ever..probably why you missed it lol, took me a minute to realize it was a storm thread and not a discussion about how bad the pattern is. as far as patterns are concerned, call me one of those who didn't see this coming after what was a pretty chilly start to the season. this is without a doubt as weak of a winter as last year so far (actually weaker because the mid january storm was great). on a side note, i enjoy the outdoors, so if it doesn't snow i'm ok with some hiking/biking weather.
  2. i think checking the models for digital snow beyond 5 days is still pretty much a time passer without much to show for it, but the oscillations are worth monitoring and +AO/-PNA isn't going to help things. we just need to hope that we enter our wheelhouse of snow (i think it's early jan thru feb) with the indices in our favor, otherwise we're relying even more on luck than normal. as far as dec/march is concerned, i can't imagine global warming is going to help us in that regard considering we're already a fringe snowtown to begin with, though i certainly can see the storms being more robust moving forward, so there's that.
  3. we had such a long run of wet/mild and even hot over the summer that i'm actually impressed we were able to switch so quickly in the fall to a pattern that could even remotely support snow. that said, i feel like we're only at normal/typical now and may need another favorable pattern nudge to get into a wintry pattern. nov/dec were pretty weak in the snow department, but they normally are, so i don't think we've wasted much during that transition period from a record breaking summer to a pattern that could support snow given the right track.
  4. this is composite and not great for zooming in on small scale events, but it's another option. i use it mostly for past winter storms or anything large scale: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=usrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=60&interval=60&year=2014&month=2&day=12&hour=0&minute=0
  5. this storm belongs in the severe thread. healthy wind, lightning, rain...total package. hopefully others can cash in.
  6. pretty healthy summer storm moving through here. not a lot of wind (not our strength), but quality torrents and lightning.
  7. hrrr looks healthy towards the end of the evening rush
  8. not sure if this next round will classify as severe, but this cell does have some electricity with it. crashing thunder in the distance by the 270 split.
  9. i'm more surprised by the lack of coverage than anything. not having a region wide mcs is tolerable, but thought there would be more pop up cells. now watch us get a line of storms during rush hour.
  10. pretty incredible bust this week as far as storms are concerned. flood watches, thunderstorms in the forecast...i've had a couple of brief showers and that's been it. it's early and the cloud situation today has been strong, but radar still meh. i'm speaking imby as there have been some areas that have done well, but so far it's been a run of the mill, classic summer week.
  11. Just some rain. No T&L here. Need summertime level conditions to return.
  12. hrrr doesn't suck for rush hour storms. cape looks sketch, but shear is good. with temps in the 70s, i'd consider any storms today similar to a game 6 in golden state win type of steal.
  13. radar looks pretty decent for that...actually a little better than i expected, though west to east precip is sketchy here, so we'll see how much of it survives downsloping.
  14. i love summer here (minus the real brutal days), so i cosign. that said, if i found a job in cali that paid the bills, i would not complain lol.
  15. it's a suspect setup for this area, but what's most impressive is how we can go from california weather to relatively standard mid-atlantic in less than 24 hours.
  16. agreed. bit too cloudy at the moment. there seem to be some breaks in the clouds to the west, but kinda locked in for now. hopefully, early to mid afternoon we can get some prolonged breaks, so we're not just dealing with showers moving through later.
  17. i would say that going from dry weather to warm/humid/storms in one day is a stretch, but this area is fully capable of it. we do humidity extremely well.
  18. nam 3k has an interesting line of storms for wednesday.
  19. certainly not severe here (imby), but a respectable garden variety thunderstorm.
  20. Might have a pissed off cell move thru the 270 split. The sky has that look.
  21. The one moving thru just south of me and into northwest dc has some lightning associated with it.
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