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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. 87storms
    the northern piece is the one to pay attention to imo. want that to dive in further west/south (which looks like it is slightly doing so far).
  2. 87storms
    looks a little better so far...slightly west'er/more consolidated.
  3. 87storms
    need that energy diving in from the dakotas to be a little further west. it's a close shave for sure.
  4. 87storms
    it bombs out late, but it's workable. need a closer to the coast track, most likely. it's becoming a little clearer what's needed for this system to work out here.
  5. 87storms
    the more i look at this system, the more i think we (folks west of i95) want to rely on a more vigorous ns sw (the northern piece). i'm basing this on as-is...obviously, if that piece dives in further west, we're golden, but that's not the case at least on the gfs. so "as-is", i'm in agreement with what others have said that we may want to bank on that energy being legit enough to provide us with a classic "clipper-like" event for the western folks and then if the phase can occur soon enough to toss precip back against the mountains, then big bonus.
  6. 87storms
    That’ll do some things
  7. 87storms
    i think we should toss that one lol.
  8. 87storms
    yea i'm just saying it might not take much to get a better solution. imo 12z looked kinda wonky to an extent. how often is a trough that narrow like the gfs showed.
  9. 87storms
    the trough axis almost looked slightly better or at least more like the cmc as it neared our longitude. idk
  10. 87storms
    hard to really even find the key differences between 12 and 18z. seems like it was just a subtle difference with that energy that drops in from the pac nw/canada. probably want that energy to be a little more consolidated to carve out a better trough.
  11. 87storms
    it really is and i was gonna mention the same. i can't remember the last time a mecs hit midweek. maybe jan 2000. i traveled during 07-08 so maybe i missed something there.
  12. 87storms
    looks like a miller B, but the trough is digging far enough south to where we actually have a chance as opposed to some redeveloping clipper off the coast of maryland/delaware.
  13. 87storms
    this storm had (and still has) a lot of work to do before it could become a mecs here, so incremental improvements makes sense as opposed to some huge shift west.
  14. 87storms
    That was a significantly better run.
  15. 87storms
    This Colorado talk is making me crave powder again. Took my bike out for a test ride today…think it’s doable in powder (ice is a no go). Long story short, I’ll take a 2-4” clipper…wouldn’t surprise me if this upcoming pattern finds a way to produce a minor event, regardless of a mecs.
  16. 87storms
    Gfs looks almost like a frontal passage. It’s gonna take bombogenesis if we’re talking a miller b. As others have said the trough is too east…not enough time to tap into the gulf at this latitude or the Atlantic at this longitude. 5-6 days out though…
  17. 87storms
    Aside from January ‘19, the argument could be made that he had the correct general idea lol.
  18. 87storms
    Jet steam next Friday looks similar to last night except further nw.
  19. 87storms
    That clipper is messing things up right now
  20. 87storms
    I vote yay on that lol. The inland runner we had was a 500 low too far west, but that’s not showing up with these next systems at least so far.
  21. 87storms
    I’ve just been peeking around but any southern wave gets my attention when there’s a 1030+ high nosing down from Canada. Looks like that wave washes out the last couple runs bc of a lead vort to the north but we don’t know yet where the current coastal ends up which I’m assuming will dictate things upstream.
  22. 87storms
    Yea I don’t think it’s a cutter pattern with the ridging out west, but if there’s enough blocking then maybe it’ll go negative quick enough. I almost like the midweek potential more though maybe bc it’s sooner lol.
  23. 87storms
    Really want the trough a little further west to avoid a late phase. That’ll cause a coastal developing too far east (like last nights system) or north.
  24. 87storms
    I split the difference and brew my own loose leaf black tea (only the good stuff). And it’s gotta be iced.
  25. 87storms
    Yea my sister said 6” (she’s around 10 mins west of sandbridge, if that). They seem to get these types of storms every few years.
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