Mailman

Yep, because if it's modeled close to the border, it'll make its way up my way.

Seems Euro stays all snow from the PA/WV line northward.

Oh my. Here we go.

That'll work. Only 4-5 days to go.

Just a foot area-wide on the Canadian.

The ICON, for you know what and giggles.

Canadian is a real good hit area wide.

Don't wanna be in the bullseye 5 days out anyway.

Oh Canada.

Just came thru here. Was rippin' pretty good. No flashes, no rumbles, though. Guess I will go to sleep.

Feel honored to be in the year's first mesoscale discussion.

Thundersnow heading towards New Castle!

Didn't do squat down here today; however, i did have to venture to Johnstown this morning. It was rippin' good on 711 between Donegal and Ligonier this morning.

Some sort of wintry mix here.

5.5" here.

3"-ish here.

It has begun.

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... KEY MESSAGES: - Widespread snow this afternoon into Sunday morning - Lake effect snow bands expected Sunday into early Monday - Cold Weather Advisory Sunday/Sunday night for east Tucker ----------------------------------------------------------- Confidence in 6+ inches of snowfall has increased along a line roughly from Muskingum (Zanesville) through Allegheny (Pittsburgh) that has prompted an upgrade to Winter Storm Warning for those areas. Likewise, confidence in 6+ inches of snowfall, especially lake effect snowfall in bands on Sunday, has prompted an upgrade to Lake Effect Warning for Mercer and Venango counties. All other hazards and impacts remain similar to previous forecasts. The near term involves two sources for impactful snow across the region. The first is a clipper that will cross the Ohio Valley today into tonight, bringing widespread snowfall and highest amounts south of Pittsburgh and in the Laurels/Allegheny Mtns. The second is banded lake effect snow taking over early Sunday in cold northwesterly flow off the lake, lingering into early Monday. The combination will bring impactful snow to the entire region, though some will see higher impacts than others. Snow has already begun across central/eastern Ohio early this afternoon, though this has generally been light. Better accumulation rates and moderate to heavy snowfall is expected later this afternoon and evening, continuing through roughly midnight, with strengthening mid-level frontogenesis across the I-70 corridor. Heaviest snowfall will be south of Pittsburgh and across the Laurels/Allegheny Mtns. Embedded bands of snow will create hazardous travel conditions with reduced visibility and rates of 0.5 to 1 inch per hour, also locally enhancing snowfall totals. Totals for the Pittsburgh metro range from 4-5" in northern Allegheny/southern Butler up to 6-7" across southern Allegheny into western Westmoreland county. A widespread 5-8" inches is expected for lowland areas inside the Winter Storm Warning, with a fairly consistent 8-12" for the Laurels/Allegheny Mtns. Lake effect snow banding Sunday/Sunday night will vary over time, but latest CAMs continue to concentrate the axis across Mercer/Venango counties where 6-8 inches is possible in some areas. Better lake effect accumulation may extend farther south, but confidence in this is low. There is high confidence in all snow for this event, given the cold profiles and saturated, deep DGZ. Snow to liquid ratios are expected to be near 20:1 tonight and Sunday, making for a very dry, powdery snow. One minor concern: initial snowfall today may melt on surfaces hovering just above freezing. This will quickly freeze tonight as temperatures plunge. This provides a segue into the last hazard: cold temperatures. Temps will drop off quickly tonight, falling into the teens and single digits by sunrise Sunday. With only ~10 degree warmup by Sunday afternoon, highs will struggle to make it out of the teens in most locations on Sunday. This, combined with gusty winds to around 30 mph will create very cold single and negative single digit wind chills tonight through early Monday. A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect for eastern Tucker through Monday morning where wind chills of -15 to -20F are expected.

Probably going to see at least 4" down here over the weekend. I'll take it!

Clipper time incoming? Not mad about that. They usually overperform around here.

3.5" for me.

Yep, Even an evening bump for down this way.