Mailman

The boundary layer flow will veer back to the NW this evening, with additional lake and terrain enhancement. Forecast snow amounts have changed little, with 2 to 5 inches in the advisory areas, and 6-12 in the warnings. NBM probabilities remain high for warning level snow where the warning is in place. There is some concern a band of lake enhanced snow could result in localized higher accumulations especially across Mercer county. Maintained the current headlines as is for now, as confidence is not high enough for warning level snow there. Steep lapse rates continue through much of the night, before a subsidence inversion begins to develop later tonight/early Tuesday, resulting in a gradual decrease in snow shower coverage and intensity.

Also had the hailers.

Thankfully it seems to be weakening (at least for now). Was legit concerned there for a bit.

Mesoscale Discussion 1964 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1037 AM CDT Sat Aug 12 2023 Areas affected...northern Indiana into much of northwest Ohio...western Pennsylvania...western New York Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 121537Z - 121800Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms are likely to develop along the cold front over the next several hours. Supercells will be capable of damaging hail, and a few tornadoes from northeast Ohio into Pennsylvania and southern New York. Damaging winds may also develop with time. DISCUSSION...A cold front is moving southward into northern IN and toward northwest OH, and visible satellite shows a zone of heating ahead of the front. Southwest winds will continue to aid moisture advection, beneath cool midlevel temperatures. The result should be storms increasing in coverage along the front by early to mid afternoon, rapidly becoming severe and producing large hail and damaging gusts. Wind profiles will favor supercell storm mode, but bowing segments may develop with time. Low-level shear will likely be sufficient for a few tornadoes across the region, as 0-1 km SRH remains around 100 m2/s2. Near Lake Erie, locally enhanced shear is possible which may aid storms moving roughly parallel to the lake shore, but also with a slight component to the right. Notably, an expansive CU field has developed over northeast OH, western PA and into western NY, with billowing clouds within the boundary layer. This is the zone of best supercell tornado potential with favorable low-level shear, good low-level CAPE, favorable hodographs for supercells and developing low-level vorticity along the boundaries. ..Jewell/Smith.. 08/12/2023

Winds didn't make it this far west. Uniontown, on the other hand, has a lot of problems.

Should be a treat.

It snows on my birthday from time to time, so lock it in.

First local school delay of the season here after a whopping 1" fell.

The rain has arrived.

Coming down rather nicely at the moment.

Probably close to 2" of the wet stuff down here today. Blah.

A mild -1 here.

GFS improving.

Had some 2" hailers down this way.

It's happening!

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 175 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 231 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2022 OHC013-019-029-031-059-067-081-111-119-121-157-PAC003-007-059-125- WVC009-029-049-051-061-069-103-040100- /O.NEW.KPBZ.TO.A.0175.220503T1831Z-220504T0100Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 175 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN OHIO THIS WATCH INCLUDES 11 COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL OHIO BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON GUERNSEY HARRISON JEFFERSON OH MONROE MUSKINGUM NOBLE TUSCARAWAS IN PENNSYLVANIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA ALLEGHENY GREENE WASHINGTON IN WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA BEAVER IN WEST VIRGINIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES IN NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA MARION MONONGALIA WETZEL IN THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA BROOKE HANCOCK MARSHALL OHIO THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ALIQUIPPA, AMBRIDGE, BEAVER FALLS, CADIZ, CALDWELL, CAMBRIDGE, CANONSBURG, CARROLLTON, COLUMBIANA, COSHOCTON, DOVER, EAST LIVERPOOL, FAIRMONT, FOLLANSBEE, MARTINS FERRY, MONACA, MORGANTOWN, MOUNDSVILLE, NEW MARTINSVILLE, NEW PHILADELPHIA, PITTSBURGH METRO AREA, SALEM, ST. CLAIRSVILLE, STEUBENVILLE, WASHINGTON, WAYNESBURG, WEIRTON, WELLSBURG, WHEELING, WOODSFIELD, AND ZANESVILLE.

Local news is really hyping up today's weather.

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 67 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 235 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2022 OHC013-019-029-031-059-067-081-111-119-121-157-PAC003-007-059-125- WVC009-029-049-051-061-069-103-240200- /O.NEW.KPBZ.TO.A.0067.220323T1835Z-220324T0200Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 67 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN OHIO THIS WATCH INCLUDES 11 COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL OHIO BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON GUERNSEY HARRISON JEFFERSON OH MONROE MUSKINGUM NOBLE TUSCARAWAS IN PENNSYLVANIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA ALLEGHENY GREENE WASHINGTON IN WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA BEAVER IN WEST VIRGINIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES IN NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA MARION MONONGALIA WETZEL IN THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA BROOKE HANCOCK MARSHALL OHIO THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ALIQUIPPA, AMBRIDGE, BEAVER FALLS, CADIZ, CALDWELL, CAMBRIDGE, CANONSBURG, CARROLLTON, COLUMBIANA, COSHOCTON, DOVER, EAST LIVERPOOL, FAIRMONT, FOLLANSBEE, MARTINS FERRY, MONACA, MORGANTOWN, MOUNDSVILLE, NEW MARTINSVILLE, NEW PHILADELPHIA, PITTSBURGH METRO AREA, SALEM, ST. CLAIRSVILLE, STEUBENVILLE, WASHINGTON, WAYNESBURG, WEIRTON, WELLSBURG, WHEELING, WOODSFIELD, AND ZANESVILLE.

7".

The final hurrah on Saturday, eh?

The weekend looks interesting.

Hard to be optimistic with this sort of setup. At least for me, anyhow.

Couple inches down here.