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AfewUniversesBelowNormal

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Everything posted by AfewUniversesBelowNormal

  1. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Big time N Pacific changes, now correlating with an arctic ice melt. It may be hard to get true +PNA this Winter.
  2. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Pretty good correlations to a year ago +1 month actually.
  3. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    A lot of convection moving through tonight, look at the storms in Illinois and Missouri, could be fun tomorrow.
  4. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    You would say this is from the declining arctic ice, but I think it's a carry over from the El Nino.
  5. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    It's not going to rain tomorrow based around here lol maybe in your own reality.
  6. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    It's been a nothing year weather-wise.. this makes sense, at least it's staying organic lol
  7. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Yeah, on this day the atmosphere/modeling changed too.
  8. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    As per subsurface, 4/4 since 1950 were Winter El Nino's, 2 Weak 2 Moderate 49-50 was La Nina.
  9. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Subsurface is moving toward El Nino,, cold west vs warm east is like +0.3 - +0.4. Surface is ninaish in the east, el nino in Nino 4 which has been the trend since 97-98. Atmosphere is El Nino
  10. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Pretty good SPC outlook for severe storms today, but my house is a bubble so it will be fun to see.
  11. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Check out the arctic ice melt pattern at the end of the 06z GFS http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_0z/ensloopmref.html
  12. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    New models showing more arctic ridging.
  13. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    The eastern subsurface stuff may only be a glitch.. models going la nina not right imo.
  14. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    The atmosphere is still very much Nino, although -AAM 500mb is somewhat appearing. You have to wonder how many "parallel realities" of enso there have been since the Winter lol.
  15. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Slight risk for thunderstorms today.. NYC to DC looks like the opposite of what I'm experiencing fwiw
  16. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Return of El Nino pattern
  17. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    This is kind of a disappointing time of year. The last few days have been especially cool. SSTs are record warm, 2005-like. ENSO is cooling too.
  18. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    I'd expect much more melt next year, personally.
  19. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    It looks like another cold wave is developing in the subsurface.
  20. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
  21. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    I wonder how many times in recorded history we've melted at the North Pole? 1 time as far as I know. The trend continues stronger
  22. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    This is interesting
  23. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
  24. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Yeah, I can see how you would think La Nina based on the current subsurface, but the atmosphere is still very much El Nino.
  25. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Another record showing up in about 7 days.
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