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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    My final call for Cedar Rapids is 5-8", a bit less than what the NWS and locals are saying.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    Weatherbell really needs to tweak their Kuchera algorithm to bring it down to Earth. Their current maps always show nonsense totals.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    The NAM is a mystery. The 12z had nothing in Waterloo (IA). The 00z has nearly a foot in Waterloo. It has heavier snow well to the northwest of Cedar Rapids than it does in Cedar Rapids or Iowa City.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    I recorded 11.5".
  5. hawkeye_wx
    And now the NAM is drying up the snow for east-central Iowa just as badly as the Euro and HRRR. For the last few days it has been all about how far north or south it would track. I did not expect to have to worry about the precip shield crapping out this far west.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    The 10:1 HRRR map shows the exact same feature as the 12z Euro. The precip shield begins to quickly dry up as it moves up into east-central Iowa. This is looking more like a garden-variety moderate storm for Cedar Rapids.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    We were just a bit too far nw. We got into the general heavy precip shield, but the very heavy, enhanced band set up just east/southeast of Cedar Rapids. I recorded 10".
  8. hawkeye_wx
    Another burst of snow very early this morning boosted my wave 1 total to 2.6". That is a nice total considering it had been crapping out on the models and even once it began the radar looked like a total dud. Fortunately, the tail juiced up and passed over east-central IA. My area ended up being the winner.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    It's a shame a strong system with a favorable track has to be in full weaken mode as it moves through. For my area, it's just a question of how quickly the snow band weakens. I'm going with 5-7" here.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    06z RDPS is north as well.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    I picked up a nice 2.3" of fluff early tonight.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    I was born in 1974 and I've never measured 12" of snow, so the stat is legit.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    Jeez, the Euro only drops 4.5" on Cedar Rapids now from the big system (using 10:1).
  14. hawkeye_wx
    If the snow is going to be a bit wet, and with some good wind and drifting, I know the ratio in my yard will be crap. 6-9" seems like a good guess here at this point.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    It does have a secondary defo zone that completes the storm for northern Illinois. Michigan gets hosed, though.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro really craps out the precip shield as you head east of Iowa. East of Chicago? Yikes!
  17. hawkeye_wx
    UK is a bit south and more progressive.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    GFSv16
  19. hawkeye_wx
    The temp has surged across Iowa today. We started in the lower single digits, but we're now well into the 30s. SW Iowa is in the low 50s.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    GDPS/Euro and GFS are on different planets. The UK is halfway between the planets.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    It was not a big storm, but it was one of my faves. It occurred on the same morning as the record -30º low temp on Jan 31, 2015. Here is what I posted then.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    The low here was around 4º this morning. The Cedar Rapids airport officially hit -2º, the first subzero of the season. A local met said this is the latest first subzero temp since 2002.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro has a wall through the entire period preventing anything from moving up into the lakes.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    Yep, the blocking has put the kibosh on the cutter/rain model runs of recent days.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    There has been discussion of Dec/Jan/Feb monthly snowfall trends over the last decade+ farther east in the lakes region, so I thought I'd check my data to see what my averages are. Starting with 2007-08, this is what I found. Dec: 9.3" Jan: 9.7" Feb: 11.7"
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