hawkeye_wx

0.48" here, on the high end of the model range. Up to 0.90" fell on the northeast edge of the city. It came with some decent lightning/thunder.

The big late-week system is now gone from the GFS. The southwest energy has been slowing while the energy moving along the Canada border has been speeding up and digging a bit more, so the wet cutter gets squashed.

This would be nice, but some models are hinting at suppression. The AI Euro drops little to nothing from north of I-80.

By far the best northern lights I've ever seen.

The warmer models were correct for my area. I did not see a single flake.

0.56" of rain here.

Far nw Iowa got up to 4" of snow this morning. It is accumulating a little in Ames. It is too warm here as the precip is arriving at peak heating.

The model trend is for a weaker system as it moves across Iowa. There is no guarantee I'll see any flakes.

Some models had already been teasing some snow mixing in across Iowa. Now the Euro has finally joined them.

There used to be a 60-ft tall red maple in my neighbor's backyard. It was too big for our small lots, but it was a beautiful, brilliant red color in fall. The 2020 derecho destroyed it. There is a still a young Fall Fiesta sugar maple in the front yard. So far, the tree has not had good color, although this year it is definitely better.

The GFS is the only model showing any real snow this weekend around here, but all models show the first big push of arctic air. It looks brief, however.

Josh has a new post https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1983730201860206979 I can't figure out how to embed an X post.

0.43" here overnight. My October rain total is 1.58", which is my driest October since 2011.

So the NHC is going to call it 892 mb at landfall? I'm very skeptical. I understand the 892 mb from recon is their final real data before landfall, but the satellite presentation was clearly better a couple hours ago when recon got that measurement.

Given some slight degradation on satellite, I don't think this will be still be sub-900 when the center of the eye crosses the coast.