mahantango#1

Wow congrats!

A nearly stationary lake effect snow band has set up in Clearfield, Centre, and Mifflin County this morning and has not moved much in the past 4 hours. If you are under this band of snow (outlined in black), be prepared for hazardous travel this morning

Its like wtf.

Is the third string working this weekend in the NWS?

What is this 1-7 inches? Talk about uncertainty. .

You'll have to wait until 11am, Poor guy needs sleep. Maybe we'll get a bonus map of those famous start times too.

Wxrisk.com ptodoenSsr0fu70gigtt0cf5g0182lhft95656i62ua23cu1722al0ghm2g5 · FIRST CALL MAP SATURDAY 11AM need sleep

JB said the other day I 80 would probably be The northern extent of the storm

JB said tonight that he expects the Euro to come north a little more and ramp up a little more.

So with this model JB might be on to something.

I was wondering we were up at my wife's brother in law above Gratz. And it snowed up there over and inch in a squall that came through. When we got home our 1 German Shepherd that usually is on the porch of the house was out at the barn. The only time she goes to the barn is when she hears thunder or sees lightning.

Was there thunder and lightning with that line?

Definitely on a rollercoaster ride at this point. Maybe it's set to derail.

DT is on the ball! FIRST GUESS MAPS ARE HERE

SCHEDULE OF WXRISK FORECAST MAPS FOR JAN 5-6 EVENT (clients will get these maps SEVERAL hours earlier FIRST GUESS MAP ..... Thursday 11pm FIRST CALL MAP .… Saturday 1am LAST CALL MAP……. Sunday 10am

From JB an hour ago: But one where accumulating snow does get to NYC but the axis of the heaviest snow looks like you take I-70 from the plains to BWI and then just extend it east. In this band about 150 miles wide is 6-12 inches of snow which is 10 to 1 south of the axis and up to 20 to 1 north of it. Some 15-inch lollipops will occur. I do think there is room to shift north about 50 miles.

JB thinks the axis of heavier snow will move north about 50 miles.

We'll be in for a treat. DT if (i read it right), will be releasing his famous first guess snow maps tomorro!

You got to discuss with your wife why college football is detrimental to her survival in 2025. After you explain the reasoning behind it, she'll be fine.

Please keep those winds down in the Burg.

Yes I say your taking a good route there. You wouldn't want to be called out and slammed by DT for wishcasting.

My NWS forecast Sunday Monday says scattered flurries here.. So maybe DT for the win. JB said yesterday He expects the 2" line to run near I-80. I think this one is not going the way we want it to.

Wxrisk.com otnoeSsrdpi1ltmggf1c5ic003f6citf2gl0h6gfu05t264a5h93i4882ci2 · SURPRISE UPDATE... 0z Early Wed models Yeah like I am going to stay away.... The 0z z wed gfs model makes little sense... the snow ice doesn't even make it to far sw VA by 7am Monday Jan 6... this is much slower than last several gfs cmc and euro runs. It should be ignored. 0z WED EURO... what is important here is the consistency. This is now the sixth model run in a row of the European model all consecutive runs which really Hammer most of Virginia as well as West Virginia Northern Kentucky Southern Indiana and Southern Ohio with a significant not major snowstorm. As you see from the maps it comes in Sunday night in the Ohio Valley in West Virginia and the pre-dawn hours of Virginia from west to east. The new run keeps Richmond's temperatures even though it mixes over to sleet at below 32 degrees and then rapidly falls in the afternoon where it goes back to snow. But just north of Richmond Ashland for example stays all snow. As you can see from the snow map the models producing significant snows over 10 inches in some places in Charlottesville Fredericksburg Stafford Northern Virginia most of the Shenandoah Valley North of Lexington. More importantly the snow amounts have increased into the Washington DC metro area. But again the trend here is your friend. It's tracking due east not turning up the coast the least not on these model runs. If this hasn't changed by the time we get to Thursday morning and midday that's probably not going to.