mahantango#1

Pixie dust snow here.

Light snow here. Everything covered, no melting 30 degrees

One thing is certain. My high was supposed to be 39 currently it's 33 so they missed it by 6 degrees.

Your not hugging Timmy?

Me too, 19 here now, but last night it got down to 13 here

I guess I'm in for a dusting of snow tomorrow night.

I wonder who those 2 are?

Just how long and strong will this advertised warm up last? Will it get cut off at the pass or will we all enjoy warmer weather? Does this also mean there won't be any frozen precipitation events either?

Wxrisk.com setSponrdo3961308alc9ga6i201l6cc4t853u29t37ml0a0g25hfcu876fa · MAJOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WEATHER MODELS.... starting DEC 17 !!!

I know some people criticize that model, but other ones have problems too. But maybe we should ride the NAM till the wheels fall off.

Was the NAM right with last week's Tuesday snowfall?

Seems with each run it keeps slipping away.

Took this pic yesterday afternoon when it was snowing. The creek is freezing over. Imperssive for this time of year.

All surfaces coated here from snow. No rain here temp. 33.

JB this morning: While the MJO is shown in the charts to be in the null phase. The current way we get there is has a strong vv pulse coming through the Indian Ocean that is associated with phases 3/4. and those are very warm in December. And this looks correct to me. But its coming and going fast and that cold is building in Canada. It collapses and in the 10-15 we are back to a phase 8/1 look. So I would expect a rapid response back the other way after that So I think Paul Roundy has a good idea here and after I got a chance to look, I agree with his assessment

Truth, somewhere along the way it all went wrong.

Hoping next summer features at least 2 weeks straight mid 90's with dp in mid 70's.

Sounds like uncertainty as if will it happen at all. Stay tuned.

I remember those years 1989 I think after December the cold went away if I remember right. 1976 the cold continued until February. I remember walking halfway across the Susquehanna River on the ice.

Ice on the creek this morning that formed overnight. Reminds me of December 1976 and 1989.

JB said this this morning: I am keying on the WPO and the MJO. There is alot of warm air in the pattern day 11-20, but the WPO favors it getting cut down coming to the east. In fact opposite models, there should be an eastern trough week 3 and dont be surprised if the models head that way. Its a rare an unholy alliance, but I think the GEFS is the better model here and I am leaning on it Somethings gotta give, Either the big telleconnections are wrong or the temperature pattern on the euro is overwarmed