mahantango#1

DT: ✳️ ALERT POSSIBLE NEW ENGLAND. NYC / NORTH NJ / LONG ISLAND SNOWSTORM appox DEC 30 ✳️ 1⃣ Be advised that this is a long way off folks! This possible scenario is based upon a extrapolation of a pattern shift which has NOT yet happened. KEY POINT -- a forecast or scenario based upon an extrapolation always has the high risk of being wrong--- even if you really really love snow and winter and cold. 2⃣ The Christmas Day and 12/26 pattern looks there mild for most of the country east of the Rockies and SOUTH of Interstate 70. BUT the Trough in SE Canada and an East based -NAO in Iceland is able to do enough to flatten the Ridge in the Plains and Midwest so that the extreme warmth across the southern states does not push north of I-70 on either Christmas day or on 12/26. 3⃣ There is good model agreement especially with the AI models and the European ensemble that the Iceland East based -NAO will continue to build or increase in size of power AND retrograde towards Greenland and Baffin Island by the end of DEC , 4⃣. This movement will cause a closed 500mb LOW to form in SE Canada which in turn lowers the heights over the Eastern US to allow another shortwave to drop towards the Middle Atlantic Coast 5⃣ IF this shortwave energy is real …IF… it could cause a significant surface LOW to form off the Mid-Atlantic coast and bring accumulating snow possibly significant snow to New England/ NYC/ Northern NJ and Long Island around 12/30/25 6⃣ The THIRD image is valid JAN 2: the strong Ridge over the Plains / Midwest has now been suppressed significantly as the block Greenland continues to Retrograde towards Labrador and Quebec. The problem is the Deep Trough in western Canada that extends down the West coast. This Trough is partially associated with the PV in Northwest Canada. 7⃣ IF we can get that deep Trough in western Canada and the PAC NW to weaken or slide eastward ….IF… the entire pattern would see a significant flip and set up a potentially stormy cold first half of JAN ▶️HOWEVER this is pure speculation as currently there is no sign of that actually happening. ◀️

18 this morning.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 147 AM EST Thu Dec 18 2025 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-026>028-035>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-190915- /O.NEW.KCTP.WI.Y.0016.251219T0600Z-251220T0600Z/ Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton- Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton- Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia- Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Selinsgrove, Ridgway, Lewisburg, Coudersport, Wellsboro, Mount Union, Renovo, St. Marys, Huntingdon, Trout Run, DuBois, Harrisburg, York, Mansfield, McConnellsburg, Mifflintown, Williamsport, Berwick, Lebanon, Emporium, Gettysburg, Hershey, Sunbury, Pottsville, Clearfield, Philipsburg, Chambersburg, Lock Haven, Warren, Newport, Danville, Bloomsburg, Shamokin, Lancaster, Bradford, Carlisle, Laporte, Lewistown, and State College 147 AM EST Thu Dec 18 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 1 AM Friday to 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects including holiday decorations. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

It would be nice to experience a good thunderstorm this time of year. There is also a myth to having a thunderstorm in winter. Something like within 10 days of a thunderstorm in winter there will be a snowstorm.

NWS says possible freezing fog tonight after 2-3am.

One thing I wish this cold weather would have did is kill the ticks.

I'm wondering that too, how far the down the ground is frozen. If it will run off.

If it was only snow in Pa.

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/spring

Yes a much needed warmup. I'm sure some on here won't agree. I know it's the holidays where most of us want snow and cold , it sets the tone for the holidays. But i'm sure there will be more winter weather to be had...probably when were ready for spring in the latter part of March.

When the next threat of winter precip.?

4.3 this morning.

COLDEST DECEMBER 1-15 SINCE 2005 Every single day of December 2025 has been cooler than average so far. The last day with above normal temperatures was November 26th (almost 3 weeks ago)! Fear not - the warm up starts today & continues through Thursday.

8 degrees this morning.

The warm up later this week seems the NWS shaved off 5 degrees from 51 to 46 on Thursday. Seems like it's not be to outrageously warm now. And the highs on Friday and Saturday look to maybe staying in the 30s. at least for my area.

On to the next storm threat!

Total snow here 1.5"

Late to the party as usual.

Got about an inch so far here.

Pixie dust snow here.