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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. The models are all over the place but there could be some big changes in the pattern heading into April especially with the AO and NAO finally coming alive. I wouldn't rule out a late season snow.
  2. Well we might squeak something out but currently it is looking rare... Ditto on the helping if anyone needs it. This is serious times and we are a community.
  3. Ok mountain folks its that time to hit the dog days of summer but first we have to get through spring. Will we have a spring or will we just go to being baked day after day. Stay safe out there guys. Wishing everyone the best.
  4. The AO and NAO look to finally come alive towards the end of the month. Something to look at down the road. Boy today is going to be very warm. Enjoy!
  5. Yeah I know several elderly and families with newborn babies do not want to get out in this stuff.
  6. I hope everyone is staying safe out there. If anyone needs anything dont hesitate to reach out here on the site.
  7. Oh yeah I understand what you are talking about but all we need is for the NAO and AO to cooperate just a but. Its been very cold up in the northern parts and I personally dont think it would be that hard to get cold in her at all. Several years ago I saw it near 90 degrees one week in March then the next week we had 6 inches of snow otg. It can and will happen again. Ironically our coldest time period this season was actually in November. I see no reason we dont have a backend cold period similar. We will see though I could be wrong. Wouldn't be the first time lol
  8. Im looking for some possible winter weather the end of the month. We may have a sizable shift in the pattern to bring us some more cold and snow.
  9. Yeah it will be long gone soon but im ready for spring to come. This winter has been very meh so im over it. Im ready for warmer and dryer times.
  10. Of course our nice weather next week has turned into a 90 percent chance of rain...
  11. The way the next few weeks look like it could be our last shot but I think we may have 1 or 2 more to go really. Can't rule out April.
  12. Moderate to steady snow. Ground is covered with about a half inch. Classic NWFS.
  13. Yeah it's snowing moderate to heavy currently in parts of Haywood.
  14. Pretty close in my prediction. Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham- Including the cities of Banner Elk, Newland, Luck, and Waynesville 334 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet over the North Carolina mountain Counties along the Tennessee border. * WHEN...From 1 AM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions from snow and black ice with temperatures below freezing. The hazardous conditions will likely impact morning commutes. With soils already moist from recent rainfall, gusty winds could bring down some trees and power lines.
  15. I think we see an advisory go up for us along the boarder for tonight through tomorrow evening. For a quick 1 to 3 inches.
  16. Excellent news man! That is awesome! Keep us updated. I was thinking maybe this spring or summer we could all have a mountain meet up or something.
  17. Yeah I think the first batch could be very elevation dependent then we get the upslope later.
  18. 12z NAM really hammers the Northern and central mountains right along the boarder tomorrow into tomorrow night then a lul then some upslope snow comes in. The GFS shows no snow until some upslope comes through on Friday.
  19. Also lets keep our neighbors in our thoughts and prayers after the devastating Tornado last night in Tennessee.
  20. Sorry to hear about your mom. Thoughts and prayers for you and your family for a speedy recovery.
  21. Some morning thoughts on the pattern the next few weeks. Currently the GFS is picking up on the snow potential for the 6th and the 7th this Friday and Saturday. Like Ward said the details are still to be worked out but there is a strong signal there. We may see something else down the road but that is some 10 days out. So low probability currently. The AO and NAO look to continue to be no help. It is unreal how stable they both have been this winter. The NAO has been positive since December basically and the AO has been positive since the end of December and that trend looks to continue through the month of March. So no rubberband effect this spring which I think will leads us into an early warm period that will last a long while.
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