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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. Met1985
    The gfs takes the Christmas system and makes it into a long duration event. Literally dumps about 2 feet of snow on the mountains. Just eye candy but a surreal solution for the Christmas day storm.
  2. Met1985
    Threats for us on the 06z gfs big and small in my opinion. From flurries to nice totals is the 18th, 20th, 22-23rd, 25-28th....
  3. Met1985
    Another good hit by the gfs for us for the 23rd storm. It's doesn't phase and blow up but we still see anywhere from 4 to 12 itches of snowfall. The border counties really clean up. But listen this storm is a weak out. Keep expectations real at this point. All this is, is a signal.
  4. Met1985
    The overnight euro was very lackluster but the eps looked colder and had a better snow mean than the ep euro.
  5. Met1985
    Again the biggest takeaways are it's getting cold, going to get colder then get bone chilling cold and we have several opportunities for winter weather signals on multiple gfs runs.
  6. Met1985
    I spoke too soon about the third system. It phases but late. We still get some snow from it as it deepens off the coast.
  7. Met1985
    The storm after Christmas just misees phasing. We get some light snow but that's about it. But we have plenty of opportunities for chances of snow.
  8. Met1985
    It should but the gfs has been having lots of trouble modeling blocking over the top.
  9. Met1985
    A solid event from the 00z gfs.
  10. Met1985
    The upslope factor with this run is very impressive especially with the extreme high ratio that this backside snow would put out.
  11. Met1985
    Looks like another good hit for us.
  12. Met1985
    The shortwave is digging deeper this run.
  13. Met1985
    Yeah definitely going to be deeper than the 18z.
  14. Met1985
    Very very true for sure. Shoot I may not want to leave lol.
  15. Met1985
    Im leaving Christmas afternoon to go to Charleston for a few days. Anything up to Christmas ill be game.
  16. Met1985
    Yeah today was the warmest day of the week. Had a high of 56 and a current temp of 32 degrees.
  17. Met1985
    If you have snow when I come back from Charleston the Thursday after Christmas ill come help. Just let me know.
  18. Met1985
    This.
  19. Met1985
    Again very nice trends and signs from the ens members.
  20. Met1985
    Eps looks great with a very nice snow mean to go with some very cold temps.
  21. Met1985
    Yes sir! Been preaching this a lot over the past few weeks. Good to see you pop in.
  22. Met1985
    A nice hit for the mountains on the euro. The storm is more north but the mountains do a decent job on the snow side. Still a lot of time for positive changes or to lose this altogether.
  23. Met1985
    The gfs ens also supports some type of storm or storms and the ens is straight damn cold also.
  24. Met1985
    Well in a nutshell we have a very active pattern taking shape across the region. The pattern change is here starting today. As I preached and preached the target date was always the 15th and right on time. Stay steady and look lively but don't get ropped in on any one solution just yet mates.
  25. Met1985
    I may have spoken too soon about 0 degree temps. The blocking is so strong and the ridge going up in the west the tpv is roling over and rotating back down....
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