RDM

Yup - lived here since 85 apart from some excursions overseas for the Gov. In an environment where everything has to come together just right to succeed, if any one factor is off by a smidge then my antenna go to full gain. However, the temptation to hope, pray and gravel at the feet of the weather gods is irresistible. The hope is eternal, no matter how many times Lucy pulls the ball away at the last minute, we're still "there" hoping the "next one" will be "THE one" that thwarts the model indecisiveness and allows sheer will-power of the masses to violate the laws of physics and achieve the desired outcome! Be it a MECS, SECS, HECS or the elusive BECS, we are as a group fixated on the dream of what may be, verses the more typical reality of what will be... Perhaps the definition of blind trust and faith in eternal optimism.

Was down to 6 here NW of Vienna. Back up to a balmy 7 now. Went to the 10:00 service at the National Cathedral last night. Got there early and stood in line outside for about 30 mins. Was a bit nippy. Weren't many people there until about 10 mins before the doors opened when they came from everywhere all at once. Was a nice event. Tried foot warmers for the first time in my 60+ year life. Those things are awesome - more than compensated for the poor insulation of dress shoes.

Nice setup with your "tent". Almost looks like an yurt with the short side walls. Enjoy the experience. I love getting out in extreme weather but my better-half would want nothing to do with your excursion. Enjoy.

Curious which source you use? From the DOM web site, they currently have 77,700+ customers out. Albeit DOM does not provide service to all of VA. They had about 2K out as of 0800. For those who don't have it already, here's the link to the DOM outage map https://outagemap.dominionenergy.com/external/default.html

Front passed through here about 20 mins ago with grauple and a slight gust. Was a little underwhelming. Temp down from 42 to 37. Still raining. Ground is saturated. A little over 2" so far for the event.

Cooling off now... Down from 51 2 hours ago to 42 now. Was 47 at midnight. Going to be interesting to see if the drop for the day hits the record chart posted earlier by a red tag.

Roger - (my brother's name) Sounds like a great setup you have there with your cabin etc. On the black locust, I burn the same. Lost several black locust in a wind storm about 10 years ago. Always thought oak and walnut were hard to beat, but after burning locust now over many seasons it's hard to beat. Burns hot and for a long time with minimal popping. Of course it was dried for several years after being split, so it is extremely dry and dare I say provides about the ideal combination of burn rate, heat and minimal smoke.. Its hardness is at the top of the scale for N. American trees, which contributes to its high btu output. Best of luck if you do lose power. We will likely lose it too. We're only 1/2 mile outside the Vienna city limits, but our power goes out a lot when it gets windy. The saturated ground and forecast winds tomorrow are probably going to inflict some wide-spread outages.

The potential for a flash freeze with even a few flurries around DC tomorrow could cause mayhem. We had a serious flash freeze in Ohio (and other states in the midwest) during the blizzard of 78. The temp drop was 30+ F over an hour or so ivo our house. Coupled with wind gusts in excess of 65mph, the flash freeze made travel nearly impossible. Even where the wind blew the snow clear, the combination of wind and ice made plowing and travel impossible. We won't have the 12+ inches of snow around here, but just a dusting could be enough. So lets project the potential impact across the WDC metropolitan area on the day before Christmas Eve? Tomorrow is going to be a day to stay home...

31/25 NW of Vienna.

The snow on Christmas in 2009 was right at a week old. We got nailed on 18 Dec - my birthday (or maybe the 19th - was a long duration event) by the first of the 3 big storms that winter season, with the other two being the back to back storms in Feb. Was THE best welcome home present ever. We'd only moved into our home a couple weeks before having just returned from nearly 3 years in Bangkok, which don't get much snow!

Those are right up there with catawampus - as it seems the models are all over the place these days; askew with our collective appetite for a BECS or HECS...

32 and .38" so far... If only..... But that "only" is par for the course around here.

Many much more classy places to go than Nana. At times it is off-limits to farong (foreigners) and can be a violent place when folks misbehave. Lived not far from it for nearly 3 years.

Enjoy Thailand. Lived there for nearly 3 years until 13 years ago. Their hospitality is something we just don't get in the US. We lived in Bangkok near Lumphini Park. Worth the visit if you have time early in the morning or early evenings to see everyone out getting exercise. You'll see throngs of people by the hundreds exercising together. Enjoy the food too - we miss it there immensely. Tried to PM you but your account is locked. hehe.

992 LP that appears to be trying to close off and go neg tilt (hard to tell on my smallish screen). What's that saying some quote about LPs going negative before they pass eastern TN?

CWG is on board... https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2022/12/01/december-weather-outlook-dc-cold/

Just dropped another degree to 18 with a dp of 15. Didn't expect this. AAA is going to be busy this morning with jump starts.

Down to 24F here with a dp of 12... Just came in from outside - a tad nippy out there.

28 here NW of Vienna...

Remember that storm well. Lived in the purple area at the time. Got 17". Took my colleague and I seven hours to get home to Lorton from downtown DC. Had to pull pine trees off the Mt. Vernon Pkwy by having 13 people pile into and on top of his Isuzu Trooper for weight. Very memorable experience. The thundersnow was intense.

PSU, yes - very interested - with a suggestion. The Zoom sessions you did before were great. Nice balance of discussion and science. Don't break what isn't broken, to include the threshold used before on when the threat warrants a discussion. Believe many/most here would agree you have the expertise and respect on the forum to make the call.

Was just looking at the returns ivo Dover. Quite a line slowly run NE to SW slowly migrating to the S. Behind it are some really funky returns. One of the scans almost looks like a golf course map.

Remember that one too. Think it was Kate. Moved here in Aug 1985 from Ohio and had a couple that brought rain and some power outages to the DELMARVA.

45 here NW of Vienna. Feels great outside.

Indeed - soupy outside. 76F/74dp here. Just came in from working outside on our daughter's car. Wasn't bad when we started but, had to roll it into the ac in the garage.