wolfie09

Ukmet still giving some hope for the weekend..

SR guidance

The 0z european didn't have much for D6 but has a big storm D9/10.. 6z Gfs drives this weekends system into NY state..

If you look at the winter season summaries the 2000s had many more "westerly" looking seasons with even some lower elevations outpacing the tug, every year in the 2000s pulaski had more snow than copenhagen...In the 2010s it has been completely opposite lol Much more WSW flow looking years with the tug and surrounding areas dominating year after year, pulaski hasn't beating copenhagen once in this decade..

Well funny you say that because people around here claim it snows much more in the pulaski area lol I do have elevation up here but I'm a little north of the good stuff, I need more of a SW component to get into some heavy snows.. Depends on which way the wind blows

Latest map. ..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches on the Tug Hill, and higher terrain with 2 inches or less of accumulation across lower elevations. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commutes on Wednesday

Back in business this weekend on the GFS..

Freeze warnings/watches issued for the deep south/gulf coast..

^^^^Yeah N Florida is receiving a NW Flow at the moment lol We are getting winds out of the S or E, it's actually warmer up on some of the hills lol Majority of stations in lewis county are in the lower 50s..

We don't see these type of events to often lol So expect the unexpected...It's not a true WSW flow, it's kinda like multiple wind directions over the lake..

^^^ Euro shows something like that as well, could be real but like you said battling surface temps..

Latest map (This does not include the entire event off Ontario)

Canadian as well..

Some guidance still brings this weekends system inland, similar to today's event..

Yeah the european was meh lol Has some region wide snow showers the next couple days and once again Fri/sat but both times surface temps are marginal especially lower elevations..

Oh yeah forgot about that haha Doesn't look as impressive now lol Oswego county did have some nice events that year including 1'-3' feet in the first week of April..

When you average that type of snow it's much easier for below average, especially these days..I haven't seen 1 year above average yet in Fulton or Altmar lol Mainly Average-below average.. In 20 years we will be the new syracuse

When I moved to Fulton in 2015 the average was near 180" a year, now down to 171" and continues to lower lol Oswego went from 150" to 141° with the new 30 year update..

I'm sure most of us off Ontario wouldn't complain about that lol ...OSWEGO COUNTY... .REDFIELD..... 388 INCHES .PALERMO...... 275 INCHES .PARISH....... 269 INCHES .BENNETTS BRG. 242 INCHES .MEXICO....... 227 INCHES .PULASKI...... 221 INCHES .MINETTO...... 221 INCHES .WEST MONROE.. 217 INCHES .FULTON....... 217 INCHES .SCRIBA....... 213 INCHES .CONSTANTIA... 207 INCHES .HANNIBAL..... 198 INCHES .OSWEGO SW.... 196 INCHES .OSWEGO....... 160 INCHES (CITY)

I live south, snow goes north, I more north, snow goes south lol Obviously J/K, part of life in LES country, just enough to tease freak

RGEM likes the pulaski area on north as of now, little south of where some of the global models have it..We walk a fine line between West and WSW flow..

Here she comes...By tomorrow we should start getting a better idea on LES potential off Ontario, looks to be primarily wed evening into Thursday morning...

It's hard to have a "good pattern" for everyone..lol Some people need NW Flow while others need SW, hard to get them both lol We hardly ever have big synoptic events for both central and western NY, always losers and winners lol