Modfan
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Everything posted by Modfan
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Thanks
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Sorry IMBY question my wife and daughter flying to Logan Friday, any trouble getting in?
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Don't hate, when the morning low here consistently dips below 70 it's Fall!
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Looking at model runs on Lorenzo, a few recurve west towards Labrador/Canada
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My rooftop view on Hutchinson Island in Port St Lucie day after Dorian passed; amazing how calm the ocean had become.
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Nevermind a 1938 redux, just a strong Cat 1 woupd be real bad. On my return trips up north I marvel at the Tree Canopy over the roads and the damage a storm would cause. A strong CAT 1 would cause extensive power outages.
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Rather not have all the rain here; it has been fairly dry since Dorian passed.
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Blizzard of 78 2011 October Snow Storm 2004/2005 (not sure exactly which year) October flooding Tropical Storm Irene 2008 Ice Storm
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Bands here in Stuart (Arundel Section) started last night and continue today with winds 15-20, gusting to 30.
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sitting here on the side of the FL Turnpike in FT Pierce work in on storm prep and the trends while encouraging do not change the fact I am still in line for a possible direct hit. The next 24hrs of model runs are crucial here.
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Regardless of modeling, August has been a wet month for St Lucie County South to Palm Beach; we don't need any more rain. Currently getting bands of showers and storms pin wheeling in of the ocean
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The only saving grace is we have 3-4 day a for it to adjust; praying GFS is wrong
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Whatcha you seeing?
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As currently modeled I look to take a direct hit, and not any fun like DIT would think. Lots of stress between work and getting house shuttered. Hoping future models are further N or S of current track.
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Need to know how strong that High is near Bermuda and positioning as well
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Yes. Hoping it goes further north towards Melbourne/Cocoa.
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Hope your right; I sit 45 miles south of Vero Beach and stress level about a 100!
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Hope so, but still planning like I Might see a Cat 2 in S FL
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If you live on the coast then you should ALREADY have supplies because there is always a chance!....But, yes it is always good to have an emergency kit ready.
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Has to be some 15" amount near Ginxy into N RI
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A lot of convection down in the FL Pan Handle, GA, and SC with tornadoes; is that all being pulled northward into this?
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Do your neighbors dump all their snow in your yard? Might be the biggest snow banks from a 3" snow storm I have seen!
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I agree....I would however split that and say a mid GA coast to SC line as a possible LF. The early. UKie runs had this to the N FL area which peaked my interst seeing how well it performed with Irma. We'll see how that works the next 2 days.
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I was thinking that this could very likely go to GA/SC border; will have to see what today and tomorrow brings.
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Wouldn't get locked onto one model just yet; during Irma GFS and Euro had two different out comes; both ended up off with their tracks and Ukie end up nailing the track.
