Modfan

Merry Christmas to you all from the S FL New England group!

Looking at model runs on Lorenzo, a few recurve west towards Labrador/Canada

My rooftop view on Hutchinson Island in Port St Lucie day after Dorian passed; amazing how calm the ocean had become.

Nevermind a 1938 redux, just a strong Cat 1 woupd be real bad. On my return trips up north I marvel at the Tree Canopy over the roads and the damage a storm would cause. A strong CAT 1 would cause extensive power outages.

Rather not have all the rain here; it has been fairly dry since Dorian passed.

Blizzard of 78 2011 October Snow Storm 2004/2005 (not sure exactly which year) October flooding Tropical Storm Irene 2008 Ice Storm

Bands here in Stuart (Arundel Section) started last night and continue today with winds 15-20, gusting to 30.

sitting here on the side of the FL Turnpike in FT Pierce work in on storm prep and the trends while encouraging do not change the fact I am still in line for a possible direct hit. The next 24hrs of model runs are crucial here.

Regardless of modeling, August has been a wet month for St Lucie County South to Palm Beach; we don't need any more rain. Currently getting bands of showers and storms pin wheeling in of the ocean

The only saving grace is we have 3-4 day a for it to adjust; praying GFS is wrong

Whatcha you seeing?

As currently modeled I look to take a direct hit, and not any fun like DIT would think. Lots of stress between work and getting house shuttered. Hoping future models are further N or S of current track.

Need to know how strong that High is near Bermuda and positioning as well

Yes. Hoping it goes further north towards Melbourne/Cocoa.

Hope your right; I sit 45 miles south of Vero Beach and stress level about a 100!

Hope so, but still planning like I Might see a Cat 2 in S FL

If you live on the coast then you should ALREADY have supplies because there is always a chance!....But, yes it is always good to have an emergency kit ready.

I agree....I would however split that and say a mid GA coast to SC line as a possible LF. The early. UKie runs had this to the N FL area which peaked my interst seeing how well it performed with Irma. We'll see how that works the next 2 days.

I was thinking that this could very likely go to GA/SC border; will have to see what today and tomorrow brings.

Wouldn't get locked onto one model just yet; during Irma GFS and Euro had two different out comes; both ended up off with their tracks and Ukie end up nailing the track.

18 in West Woodstock

Last I saw was 12" in West Woodstock CT at noon, have to be approaching 14 with that band rotting over head

I'm following from Okeechobee County in FL, last I heard I. Woodstock was 5" about 2hrs ago, got to be close to 8 now.

I was Will;that March date sounds about right. I was just astounded as to the amount of snow that fell in such a short period. That event caught a lot of people off guard.

Not sure the date, but 2-3 years ago we had a storm that was either late Feb or early March, I had a medical call for my FD at about 1-2am and we had about 5-7 inches on the ground when I got home. Betwee that time and 6-7am we must have got another 10-15 inches of snow. I Remember opening the front door and was amazed at the size of the drift at my door. One of the guys on my FD plows for the town and said it was snowing a 3-4" an hr rate during that period and they had to get off the road it was so bad. Does anyone remember which storm that was?