Snowman99

As I expected, ERC and some "land" interaction knocked Dorian down to a 4.

I think if this goes through an ERC it gets knocked down to a 4. Perfect conditions are needed to sustain 5's. A little land and inner core workings should do a bit of a number on it.

Didn't the HWRF show this rapid intensification last evening?

Looks like the colder tops are expanding again around the center.

GFS right up the spine.

Down to 155 mph, cat 4. Could weaken more followed by possible strengthening again per NHC. No real change in track..

Josh Morgerman‏Verified account @iCyclone 1m1 minute ago More 7 am. Heading S on Florida Turnpike near Kissimmee. N-bound lanes mobbed. #IRMA the only topic on morning radio. Folks are *freaked*.

Eh..6 hours isn't that much of a difference at this rate. They'll be issued late this morning. Everyone knows they're coming, a lot of people are already leaving. NHC usually does everything by the book.

No Cuba landfall this time, quite a bit north of previous runs.

Usually the better intact a storm is when hitting cuba like that, the worse shape its in when it reemerges. Especially if its a large size...and it just doesnt get its act back together. Ike was like that i believe..was supposed to get to cat 4 or 5 again over the Gulf and couldnt do it. Sent from my SM-G930U using Tapatalk

Since GFS upgrade it overly deepens hurricanes all the time

Somewhere in Hawaii, 52.00 inches

They increased winds to 90kts at like midnight or 1am central time.

Lol @ Drudge..such stupidity

Winds are up to 125 pressure down to 944.