Chicago WX

Yeah, this thread made me go back and look at my photos from that winter. Here's one my mom took on February 17 in IKK. There's a large bush under that lamp post. That winter finished it off, BTW. Crazy snow, epic winter scene.

One of the most impactful winter storms to ever hit the state of Indiana. About 2/3 of the state received at least 10" of snowfall. Strong winds and the plummeting temps made travel nearly impossible. December was solid, but this event really seemed to kick off what would become one of the coldest and snowiest winters on record in the Midwest. Great times. 

RGEM still well south of the NAMs. Banking on my weenie band tomorrow morning of course. 

5 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Mini weenie-band around Kankakee for Chicagowx.  

Ride it.

Canadians like that mini band too. Not happening, but would be quite the gift. 

Just now, RCNYILWX said:

Still well too strong with the surface trough tomorrow night. It'll figure things out with the 06z run or 12z tomorrow I guess.

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Baby steps with that model. 

NAM coming back to reality

Yeah, these are fun. Current one was mixed flakes and graupel and then went to just big ass flakes. Just pounding. 

Didn’t last long, but that was rip City for about 15 minutes. My visibility was 2 blocks at best for awhile.

Going to need the RGEM to score the coup. 6z still solid for N IL. Otherwise, everything is wagons north again (6z Nams, 6z HRRR, and 9z RAP, and 6z GFS slightly north). Think everyone had an idea this would go a bit further north in the end, but some of these moves are stupid in the past 24 hours. Still time for more changes I guess...

Places in NE and IA went from warning snows to pretty much nada in one run of the NAM. Awesome model.

Might even be north of MSN. What a move.  

0z NAM looks quite a bit north. 

7 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Should've gone DAB to cover yourself.

Nah. Won't see a snowflake most likely. Just a cold rain.

31 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Going 6 imby with the near miss north 

lol, hope it works out.

Easy first, and last call for MBY. 0.0".

And maybe it’s voo doo meteorology, but we’ve had a few medium range modeled hits that went to hell in the short range. Why not try something different and reel one in from the south. 

Either way, system looks like it could be messy with zones of snow, mix, and rain…wherever it ends up falling.

Eh, I think 1/31-2/1 is still in play. Still a signal on the ensembles that it could come north. Granted, op runs favor south, and that's the play at the moment, but I wouldn't completely dismiss the chance. Plus, it's kind of a date(s) when things happen...

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

Next

Hoosier's go-to model (6z run) is a slight tick away from congrats MSP and GRB.  

Smells like a I-88 to MSN special, or somewhere in that corridor. These always have a late north trend it seems.

27 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

What are some ratio reports so far?

Whatever they are, I would suspect a lowering trend now (especially outside of the primary heavy banding) as temps nudge up.  It's snowing here but not really accumulating at this point.

You can’t find the website? 

But of course, ratios are much lower now. Still, point stands…overnight snows were greater than 10:1. 

Looking at CoCoRaHS reports so far, the 10:1 or less crowd is taking a beating. 

36 minutes ago, King James said:

I was up at 245 with the dogs and already was coming down pretty good and the grass was covered. We did it!

2.4" with my 6:00 AM CoCoRaHS observation. 

Snowing nicely right now. Radar still looks good. Maybe a shot at 4", which would be quite a win for us.  

Bands doing work. 2.0" on the dot here so far. Pleasantly surprised. 

31 minutes ago, King James said:

“A localized "minima" in snow amounts and impacts may materialize between both bands near I-80 or the Kankakee River Valley.”

Will there be enough to cover the grass out this way? Hasn’t happened yet this winter. Heading into Feb and still haven’t been able to cover the leaves and grass.
 

Just one big prolonged November 

 

 

Very possible we get little to nothing while places just to put north and south have snow on the ground. GFS has led the way on that scenario, remarkably.  HRRR onboard with that too. Think a final call of T-1” looks golden. And the weekend event looks to miss north. Good times! 

1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

I wonder what Chad is saying...

Rain? 
But, seems LAF is right on the line or close to it, on several models for a good hit. Hope it happens. And for our other Indiana people too. 

Looks like the 6z Euro bumped a little north. Been watching that STL to LAF to FWA area on the models. Think that corridor may be the jack zone.