It's cold after that energy traverses the country. That piece could easily get forced under the ridge building to our north. We are in prime climo. Won't take too much for that to work out for us.
Kinda resembles a nino like pattern with the ridge in Canada. Decent chance that can be a snow event for climate favored areas. This is also a day 10 storm.
Any rain is too much! Earlier in the week the TVa was releasing water from Fontana to make sure the lake could hold all the rain we are supposed to get.
It used to be a big deal when they released but now its something they have done regularly the past few years.
Probably not, but the changes are taking place well before that in the Pacific. It's under 10 days now and has been shown on the ensembles for several days. I think chances are better than normal we get into a wintry period.