Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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Larry's outflow should get captured by the right entrance region of a jet streak over the next 24-48hrs. This might be able to intensify it again assuming the water is warm enough and the structure isn't too degraded.
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I better be able to count at least 10 MVs in the eye or it's a bust.
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Not annular anymore if it's doing another ERC. Sure looks it is based on recent microwave passes.
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Larry could stay major for the next 6 days as shown by some models. That would account for more than half of the 2021 NATL ACE at the time of dissipation.
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Has better looking outflow than Ida or Grace.
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So did the HRDPS redeem itself or are we still stuck with the NAM?
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I Thought that was an EF3/4 based on TDS height. I haven't seen any damage pics that look higher than an EF2.
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Luckily Mississippi hasn't built thousands of plywood McMansions like New Jersey has. Those things are like giant sails once a tornado hits.
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People intercepting wedges in Annapolis and NJ.
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Going to be really ugly for DE/PHL/NJ this afternoon. The good cells usually bank right. Not ruling out a second line in DC VA after the crapvection lifts out.
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Best discrete cells are hugging the bay +-10 miles.
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Goes 16 showing a to of lightning Everyone probably already woken up.
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Strong inflow trying to rip these things up.
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Apparently some models NAM/ARW NSSL want to put the best tornado params in the Wash/Bal area around 8-11z with the initial warmfront. Basically those cells in VA move to the DC BAL metro and could cause problems.
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Most of tomorrows cape will come from the 74 degree dews. Haven't seen the sun today and not expecting to tomorrow.
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Convective setups usually trend east. This one has been trending northwest so far.
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Will be a fish storm. Will add a lot of ACE. Will have a lot of IKE.
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Well turns out the neglected piece of urban blight that toppled was one of the cities historic cultural sights. Guess they did a good job disguising it.
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Wonder if there's a temporary power restoration plan. Replacing all those poles and towers won't happen quickly.
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Maybe they just needed some sleep.
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So far no reports of New Orleans itself filling with water. Just power out and wind damage.
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Several barges came loose during the storm. I hope that's not what cause the levee failures or transmission line collapse.
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Always a joke when you tweet for help without telling your exact location.
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2-3" per hour in the eyewall upstream from the city.
