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PDIII

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Everything posted by PDIII

  1. yeah it has the most accumulating snow since yesterday's 18Z. Just glad we didnt lose it. Would be fun to get 4 inches in a couple of hours. I like watching heavy snow.
  2. Looks like the Euro from yesterday is gonna be dead on.
  3. Yes another great 500MB pass with horrible temps
  4. I wonder if that first band in Frederick is virga...
  5. Thanks Ravens.. 3-6 for catonsville/ Woodlawn. I will take it
  6. I remember a day back in the 90s where we had a similar set up to this. It was supposed to be a brief period of snow and then a wash out. My dad and I decided to take the dog for a walk in middle River when it began to snow. By the time we got done there was 3 inches on the ground. It never changed over. I think we got like 5 inches and some sleet. Maybe we get lucky. It happens. I am in Baltimore so I can dream...
  7. Yeah.. I mean it's a sub 1000 low riding up in to Chicago. It makes me wonder why there is even a thread. Some of models were pretty bullish on CAD a couple of days ago so I guess everyone is hang on that. I am hoping we get an inch or two out of the first wave. I am up in Baltimore county. Just high enough where I get snow when the city gets rain.
  8. I see @usedtobe lurking. Havent seen him post hardly anything this year
  9. All the models are showing the precip max in eastern pa. I am sad about that. Why can't the blue be over me?
  10. The wildcard is whether or not SLP develops along the front. If that happens and the change over occurs early enough we should see some upside with this.
  11. Snow with a this type of set up can be a lot of fun. We could see a burst where we get 3 inches in an hour or two. There will be a huge temp gradient... Should be like a strong raing shower.. but snow
  12. The GFS is showing more snow for the frontal passage than it has ever showed before. It is really only 1-4 but it looks better than the previous runs. Cmc is a big step back.
  13. Man nws is really going big. They are counting on something.. maybe snow cover.. evap cooling.. a quick front end thump.. maybe ice.. And they issue the warnings after the last night's guidance... They are all in..
  14. Now just flurries.. but I am glad I get to see some flakes!
  15. I am in nyc right now for work. Long night last nigh. Woke up to moderate snow.. as soon as I saw it I just knew that we were gonna over perform!!
  16. LWX talked about the potential for this this morning: " slightly negative EPV and Frontogenetical forcing that lines up, suggesting that CSI banding is possible"
  17. btw.. jeffy should win an emmy
  18. I think the gfs took a small step back on from 18 to 0.. but it does not matter at this lead. It's locked up.. lets bring it up. 8 inch lollis
  19. It seems like all the guidance took a step backwards at 0z... maybe I am just being pessimistic.. but that's what is looks like to me.
  20. Eta I catonsville md it is cold as fock... And the dewpoint is low as fock.
  21. This explains it https://www.rd.com/culture/why-you-can-smell-snow/
  22. I feel like jb2 should add surface frigidization to his venacular
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