Solak

Recon: 940mb

@wcnc 4m4 minutes ago HURRICANE FLORENCE: Flushing phase of lane reversal will begin at 8 a.m. tomorrow in Columbia as SCDOT prepares to reverse lanes of I-26 between Columbia and Charleston. They will flush from Columbia to the I-526 interchange in Charleston.

Pressure 942.8

NWS Newport/Morehead‏Verified account @NWSMoreheadCity 2m2 minutes ago #FlorencUpdate: Hurricane Florence is now a Category 4 storm with sustained winds of 130 mph. Minimum pressure is 946 mb.

Allan Huffman‏ @RaleighWx 2m2 minutes ago Well those of us hoping the GFS would come into agreement with the other guidance may have to wait another cycle. The 12z through 90 hours has it stalled just offshore of Hatteras #Florence Again just what the model shows.

Pressure was 962mb at 11:00. Recon just hit the eye... 945mb!

09.10.2018 Brunswick County has issued a mandatory evacuation for residents in unincorporated areas who live in low-lying and flood-prone areas or substandard or mobile homes, beginning at daylight (7 a.m.) Tuesday.

This will be one of the things we want to keep an eye on (pardon the pun) Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km).

11:00 AM AST Mon Sep 10 Location: 25.0°N 60.0°W Moving: W at 13 mph Min pressure: 962 mb Max sustained: 115 mph

WeatherMatrix 1 min · Latest Hurricane #Florence storm surge forecast approaching 15 feet on shore, 10-13 feet up the rivers. This will change if track changes. http://cera.coastalrisk.live

@SamWalkerOBX 6m6 minutes ago BREAKING NEWS: Mandatory evacuation of Hatteras Island, visitors and residents, beginning at 12pm today. #Florence

Allan Huffman‏ @RaleighWx 17m17 minutes ago The 18z late dynamical models show SE NC as the highest threat with a track deep inland. #Florence

Possibly getting to 150mph??? FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/2100Z 24.4N 57.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 12H 10/0600Z 24.6N 58.3W 90 KT 105 MPH 24H 10/1800Z 25.1N 60.4W 105 KT 120 MPH 36H 11/0600Z 25.9N 63.1W 115 KT 130 MPH 48H 11/1800Z 27.0N 66.2W 125 KT 145 MPH 72H 12/1800Z 30.3N 72.6W 130 KT 150 MPH 96H 13/1800Z 33.5N 77.5W 120 KT 140 MPH 120H 14/1800Z 35.0N 79.0W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND

5:00 PM AST Sun Sep 9 Location: 24.4°N 57.0°W Moving: W at 7 mph Min pressure: 975 mb Max sustained: 85 mph

NWS Raleigh‏Verified account @NWSRaleigh 12m12 minutes ago The risk of prolonged extremely heavy rainfall with #Florence is increasing. Remember that flooding is a major cause of inland deaths with tropical cyclones. Get prepared now for the potential for torrential rains! #ncwx

Full run of the Euro... That would make for a very long week of weather with the storm doubling back on it's track. Allan Huffman‏ @RaleighWx 2m2 minutes ago The 12z ECMWF track. #Florence

12z GFS gives this location (KJNX) 0.07" from Wednesday through the duration of the storm. Really hard to buy into that.

11:00 AM AST Sun Sep 9 Location: 24.4°N 56.3°W Moving: W at 6 mph Min pressure: 984 mb Max sustained: 75 mph

Sunday morning recon - first pass.

"Very windy" has been added to the local NWS forecast for Fri/Sat. Haven't seen that in a while. Friday Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Very windy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

That 96 over my house... that's the temp and not wind speed, right?

Another thing to keep in mind... with the incoming/stalling front dropping down from VA, there's a 30%-50% chance of showers/storms all week leading up to the potential landfall. Ground might be at least wet, possibly saturated before any effects of Florence show up.

Recon is in the outer fringes of Florence now. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/

Or more recently, Dennis/Floyd in 99